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Rockburst prediction model based on comprehensive weight and extension methods and its engineering application
Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment ( IF 3.7 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-02 , DOI: 10.1007/s10064-020-01861-4
Lewen Zhang , Xiangyu Zhang , Jing Wu , Dukun Zhao , Hao Fu

In view of the dynamic instability of rock mass in high geostress areas during underground engineering excavation, the comprehensive weight and extension methods are adopted to research the rockburst prediction. Firstly, five main influencing factors including uniaxial compressive strength, stress coefficient, brittleness coefficient, elastic energy index, and integrity of rock mass are used as the evaluation indexes of rockburst prediction according to the conditions required for rockburst occurrence. The assessment index system of rockburst intensity is constituted. Secondly, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and variation coefficient methods are used to determine the comprehensive weight of evaluation index, and the rockburst prediction model is established based on the extension evaluation method. Thirdly, the parameter programming and numerical calculation of the proposed prediction model are carried out in the MATLAB software. The user visualization execution window and software system of rockburst prediction model are realized. Finally, the software system is applied to the rockburst prediction in the water diversion tunnels of Jiangbian hydropower station and Jinping secondary hydropower station. The prediction results are compared with the actual situation and other evaluation methods. The results show that (i) the establishment of the user visualization window realizes the visualization and systematization of rockburst prediction model, which improves the data import rate and calculation efficiency. (ii) The prediction results of the proposed software system agree well with the actual situation, and they are more accurate than other evaluation methods. (iii) The proposed software system of rockburst prediction can also be used in coal mine, metro, and other underground projects, which has good engineering application values.



中文翻译:

综合权重和扩展方法的岩爆预测模型及其工程应用

鉴于地下工程开挖过程中高地应力区岩体的动态失稳,采用综合权重和扩展法研究岩爆。首先,根据岩爆发生的条件,将单轴抗压强度,应力系数,脆性系数,弹性能指数和岩体完整性五个主要影响因素作为岩爆预测的评价指标。建立了岩爆强度评价指标体系。其次,采用层次分析法和变异系数法确定评价指标的综合权重,在可拓评价方法的基础上建立岩爆预测模型。第三,所提出的预测模型的参数编程和数值计算是在MATLAB软件中进行的。实现了岩爆预测模型的用户可视化执行窗口和软件系统。最后,将该软件系统应用于江边水电站,锦屏二级水电站引水隧洞的岩爆预测。将预测结果与实际情况和其他评估方法进行比较。结果表明:(i)用户可视化窗口的建立实现了岩爆预测模型的可视化和系统化,提高了数据导入率和计算效率。(ii)拟议软件系统的预测结果与实际情况非常吻合,并且它们比其他评估方法更准确。(iii)所建议的岩爆预测软件系统也可以在煤矿,地铁等地下工程中使用,具有良好的工程应用价值。

更新日期:2020-06-02
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