Abstract The attractiveness and urbanisation of coastal zones increase their vulnerability to climate change and sea-level rise, in particular to flooding and marine erosion. In the face of the projected increase in losses and damages, the anticipation and measures needed for adaptation involve physical, socioeconomic and political dimensions at different governance levels and timescales. A large literature addresses these various issues, generally in a targeted way. Drawing on adaptive policy pathways approaches and on research results of the past decade in mainland France, this article proposes an interdisciplinary characterisation of long-term adaptation pathways in coastal areas. Among the different variables and processes of change that characterise coastal zones and their future, particular emphasis is placed on social and institutional dynamics. This work contributes to the debate about adaptive governance in a highly uncertain context as well as to recent work to explore pathways and tipping points in support of climate adaptation policies.

中文翻译：

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为沿海适应路径铺平道路：基于领土原型的跨学科方法

摘要 沿海地区的吸引力和城市化增加了它们对气候变化和海平面上升的脆弱性，特别是对洪水和海洋侵蚀的脆弱性。面对预计的损失和损害增加，适应所需的预期和措施涉及不同治理级别和时间尺度的自然、社会经济和政治层面。大量文献通常以有针对性的方式解决这些不同的问题。借鉴适应性政策路径方法和法国大陆过去十年的研究成果，本文提出了沿海地区长期适应路径的跨学科特征。在表征沿海地区及其未来的不同变量和变化过程中，特别强调社会和体制动态。这项工作有助于在高度不确定的背景下进行关于适应性治理的辩论，以及最近探索支持气候适应政策的途径和临界点的工作。