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Short-term impact of PM2.5, PM10, and PMc on mortality and morbidity in the agglomeration of Warsaw, Poland
Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health ( IF 2.9 ) Pub Date : 2020-05-13 , DOI: 10.1007/s11869-020-00831-9
Katarzyna Maciejewska

The work presents the results of short-term health effects assessment of particulate matter (PM) in Warsaw, the capital of Poland. The influence of three PM fractions, PM10 (particles of aerodynamic diameter < 10 μm), PM2.5 (particles of aerodynamic diameter < 2.5 μm), and PMc (coarse fraction of diameter between 2.5 and 10 μm), modeled by the CALMET/CALPUFF system, has been studied in the period of 2013–2014. Six population health endpoints; daily counts of all-cause (ALL), cardiovascular (CV), and respiratory (RS) death cases; and ALL, CV, and RS hospital admissions were investigated with the use of statistical time series analysis via nonparametric generalized additive model (GAM) approach. The results show that PM2.5 increases the relative risk (RR) of ALL premature deaths by 0.7% per 10 μg/m 3 , as well as of CV mortality by 0.9%. PM10 exposures reveal the largest influence on mortality in a 2-day lag: 0.3% for all causes and 0.4% for CV causes, while for RS causes only in the elderly group (above 65 years, 1.4%) and for males (2.1%). The risk of hospitalizations increases with elevated PMc levels by 2.5%, 2.1%, and 4.6% for ALL, CV, and RS hospital admissions, respectively. The results suggest that the research on PM impact on health should concentrate more on attempts to assign specific health outcomes to PM originating from different types of sources, characterized by different granulation, as well as physical and chemical properties of emitted particles.

中文翻译:

PM2.5、PM10、PMc对波兰华沙城市群死亡率和发病率的短期影响

这项工作展示了波兰首都华沙的颗粒物 (PM) 短期健康影响评估结果。三种 PM 部分的影响,PM10(空气动力学直径 < 10 μm 的颗粒)、PM2.5(空气动力学直径 < 2.5 μm 的颗粒)和 PMc(直径在 2.5 和 10 μm 之间的粗颗粒),由 CALMET/建模CALPUFF 系统,已在 2013-2014 年期间进行了研究。六个人口健康终点;全因 (ALL)、心血管 (CV) 和呼吸 (RS) 死亡病例的每日计数;通过非参数广义可加模型 (GAM) 方法使用统计时间序列分析对 ALL、CV 和 RS 住院进行了调查。结果表明,PM2.5 每 10 μg/m 3 使 ALL 过早死亡的相对风险 (RR) 增加 0.7%,并使心血管死亡率增加 0.9%。PM10 暴露在 2 天的滞后时间内对死亡率的影响最大:所有原因为 0.3%,CV 原因为 0.4%,而 RS 原因仅在老年人群(65 岁以上,1.4%)和男性(2.1%)中)。对于 ALL、CV 和 RS 入院,住院风险随着 PMc 水平升高分别增加 2.5%、2.1% 和 4.6%。结果表明,关于 PM 对健康影响的研究应该更多地集中在尝试将特定的健康结果分配给源自不同类型来源的 PM,其特征是不同的颗粒,以及排放颗粒的物理和化学特性。对于 ALL、CV 和 RS 入院,住院风险随着 PMc 水平升高分别增加 2.5%、2.1% 和 4.6%。结果表明,关于 PM 对健康影响的研究应该更多地集中在尝试将特定的健康结果分配给源自不同类型来源的 PM,其特征是不同的颗粒,以及排放颗粒的物理和化学特性。对于 ALL、CV 和 RS 入院,住院风险随着 PMc 水平升高分别增加 2.5%、2.1% 和 4.6%。结果表明,关于 PM 对健康影响的研究应该更多地集中在尝试将特定的健康结果分配给源自不同类型来源的 PM,其特征是不同的颗粒,以及排放颗粒的物理和化学特性。
更新日期:2020-05-13
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