ABSTRACT In this manuscript the Ebola outbreaks in 2014 and 2018 have been studied. On March 23, 2014, the World Health Organization announced the beginning of the Ebola outbreak in West Africa. The initial location was in a forested area in the south eastern portion of Guinea. We used three different methods to determine the origin of the outbreak. The first was a suite of artificial adaptive systems called Topological Weighted Centroid which located the outbreak origin at Longitude: −10.5337, Latitude: 8.1517. This area is 64 km from Guekedou, Guinea. We also used a Dynamic Naive Bayesian/Dynamic Networks Block Algorithm. The Bayesian algorithm shows the main source of the Ebola outbreak at Kissidougou. Both of these methods revealed the outbreak started in the forested area southeast of Guinea. The distance between Guekedou and Kissidougou is about 69 km. Furthermore, we used an artificial neural network (ANN) called Selfie to predict the outbreak diffusion. The Ebola outbreak in May 2018 in Democratic Republic of Congo was not as widespread as the outbreak in 2014. The outbreak was effecting the health zones of Bikoro and Iboko, and Wangata in Congo. We have used an ANN algorithm and predicted the origin of the outbreak at (Longitude: 18.3046, Latitude: −0.6865) in the Equator about 20 km at North-West of Bikoro.

中文翻译：

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使用人工适应系统分析 2014 年和 2018 年西非和刚果的埃博拉疫情

摘要 在这份手稿中，研究了 2014 年和 2018 年的埃博拉疫情。2014年3月23日，世界卫生组织宣布西非埃博拉疫情开始。最初的地点是在几内亚东南部的森林地区。我们使用了三种不同的方法来确定爆发的起源。第一个是一套称为拓扑加权质心的人工自适应系统，它将爆发源定位在经度：-10.5337，纬度：8.1517。该地区距几内亚盖克杜 64 公里。我们还使用了动态朴素贝叶斯/动态网络块算法。贝叶斯算法显示了基西杜古埃博拉疫情的主要来源。这两种方法都表明疫情始于几内亚东南部的森林地区。盖克杜和基西杜古之间的距离约为 69 公里。此外，我们使用称为 Selfie 的人工神经网络 (ANN) 来预测疫情扩散。2018 年 5 月在刚果民主共和国爆发的埃博拉疫情并不像 2014 年爆发的那样广泛。此次疫情正在影响刚果的比科罗和伊博科以及旺加塔的卫生区。我们使用了 ANN 算法并预测了在比科罗西北部约 20 公里的赤道（经度：18.3046，纬度：-0.6865）爆发的起源。