Understanding the present and future distribution of soil-borne plant pathogens is critical to supporting food and fibre production in a warmer world. Using data from a global field survey and a nine-year field experiment, we show that warmer temperatures increase the relative abundance of soil-borne potential fungal plant pathogens. Moreover, we provide a global atlas of these organisms along with future distribution projections under different climate change and land-use scenarios. These projections show an overall increase in the relative abundance of potential plant pathogens worldwide. This work advances our understanding of the global distribution of potential fungal plant pathogens and their sensitivity to ongoing climate and land-use changes, which is fundamental to reduce their incidence and impacts on terrestrial ecosystems globally.

了解土壤传播的植物病原体的当前和未来分布对于在温暖的世界中支持食品和纤维生产至关重要。使用来自全球实地调查和为期9年的实地实验的数据，我们表明，温度升高会增加土壤传播的潜在真菌植物病原体的相对丰度。此外，我们提供了这些生物的全球地图集，以及不同气候变化和土地利用情景下的未来分布预测。这些预测表明，全球潜在植物病原体的相对丰度总体增加。这项工作使我们对潜在的真菌植物病原体的全球分布及其对持续的气候和土地利用变化的敏感性有了更深入的了解，这对于减少其发病率和对全球陆地生态系统的影响至关重要。