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Longevity can mask low N b if only N e of mixed-age samples is estimated in threatened and mobile species
Conservation Genetics ( IF 2.0 ) Pub Date : 2020-05-03 , DOI: 10.1007/s10592-020-01277-3
Ann-Kathrin V. Schlesselmann , Bruce C. Robertson

Knowing about a threatened species’ effective population size (Ne) is vital to assess population trends and guide conservation efforts. Highly mobile and migratory species are some of the most threatened yet hardest to monitor groups. Recently, a conversion has been proposed to convert estimates of the effective number of breeders (Nb) to Ne using two life history traits. We evaluated current methods to estimate Nb and Ne to inform conservation management using the black-fronted tern/tarapirohe (Chlidonias albostriatus) as a case study. Black-fronted terns are endangered, highly mobile and traditional monitoring methods have proven difficult. Based on 17 microsatellites and extensive sampling throughout the breeding range, we estimated mean Nb ca. 700 based on sibship assignment and linkage disequilibrium (LD) methods. Mean estimates of LD Ne based on the conversion of Nb and two life history traits was 668, while LD Ne based on samples of chicks and adults was 3216. The low ratio of Nb/Ne when using the Ne estimate based on mixed-age samples is probably driven by a combination of Nb being more sensitive to the large recruitment failure of individuals, large variation compared to mean reproductive success between same-age and same-sex individuals, and the ongoing overall population decline. We highlight that in relatively long-lived and threatened species, a combination of Nband Ne estimates are more appropriate to assess the population status rather than solely relying on Neof mixed-age samples. For black-fronted terns, we recommend increased conservation management and genetic monitoring based on Nb and Ne.



中文翻译:

如果仅在受威胁物种和流动物种中估计混合年龄样本中的N e个,寿命就可以掩盖低N b

了解受威胁物种的有效种群数量(N e)对于评估种群趋势和指导保护工作至关重要。高度流动和迁徙的物种是最受威胁但最难监测的群体。最近,已经提出了一种转换,以使用两个生活史特征将育种者的有效数量(N b)的估计值转换为N e。我们评估目前的方法来估算ñ bñ Ë使用通知养护管理黑额燕鸥/ tarapirohe(Chlidonias albostriatus)作为案例研究。黑面燕鸥濒临灭绝,机动性强,传统的监测方法被证明是困难的。根据17个微并在整个繁殖范围广泛的取样,我们估计平均Ñ b约 700基于同伴关系分配和链接不平衡(LD)方法。的LD平均数估计Ñ Ë基于转化Ñ b和两个生活史是668,而LD Ñ Ë基于小鸡的样品和成人是3216的低比Ñ b / Ñ Ë使用时Ñ Ë估计基于混合年龄的样本可能是由以下因素共同驱动的ñ b是个人的招聘大失败,大的变化相比,平均同年龄和同性别的个体,以及正在进行的总人口下降的繁殖成功率更敏感。我们着重指出,在相对长寿和受威胁的物种中,N bN e估计值的结合更适合评估种群状况,而不是仅仅依赖混合年龄样本的N e。对于黑额燕鸥,我们建议基于N bN e加强保护管理和基因监测。

更新日期:2020-05-03
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