Network security situation prediction is difficult due to its strong uncertainty, but DS evidence theory performs well in solving the problem of uncertainty. Based on DS evidence theory, this study analyzed the prediction of the network security situation, designed a prediction model based on the improved DS evidence theory, and carried out a simulation experiment. The experimental results showed that the improved method could predict accurately in the case of a large conflict, and had strong anti‐jamming abilities as compared with the original method. The experimental results prove the effectiveness of the improved method in the prediction of the network security situation and provide some theoretical basis for the further application of DS evidence theory.

中文翻译：

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基于DS证据理论的网络安全预测。

由于网络安全状况的不确定性很强，因此很难预测，但是DS证据理论在解决不确定性问题方面表现良好。本研究基于DS证据理论，分析了网络安全状况的预测，基于改进的DS证据理论设计了预测模型，并进行了仿真实验。实验结果表明，与原始方法相比，改进的方法在冲突较大的情况下可以准确预测，具有较强的抗干扰能力。实验结果证明了改进方法在网络安全状况预测中的有效性，为进一步的DS证据理论应用提供了理论依据。