This paper explores how changes in Australia’s grain industry supply chains are likely to impact on the nature and profitability of an Australian farmer’s grain harvest logistics. A simulation model is used to show how receival site rationalisation, cheaper on‐farm storage, larger trucks, higher‐yielding crops and new harvest technologies, separately and in combination, affect the nature and profitability of a farmer’s grain harvest logistics. Applying the model to a typical Australian grain farm shows that many of these changes unambiguously advantage the farm business, and often, the combination of these changes increases a farmer’s harvest profits by at least 10 per cent. For many farmers, the task of efficiently designing and managing harvest logistics will be an increasingly difficult yet important series of choices due to the range of storage options, grain pathways, crop portfolios and market opportunities that are arising. A farmer’s decisions about cost‐effective on‐farm storage and transport, and their judicious use, will be a key contributor to additional profit in future years.

中文翻译：

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影响农民粮食丰收物流的因素和情景

本文探讨了澳大利亚谷物工业供应链的变化可能如何影响澳大利亚农民谷物收成物流的性质和盈利能力。使用模拟模型分别显示并结合了收货地点的合理化，廉价的农场存储，较大的卡车，高产作物和新的收成技术如何影响农民的谷物收成物流的性质和获利能力。将模型应用于典型的澳大利亚谷物农场表明，这些变化中的许多变化无疑会给农业业务带来好处，而且，这些变化的结合通常会使农民的收获利润至少增加10％。对于许多农民来说 由于存储选项，谷物途径，作物组合和市场机会的出现，有效设计和管理收获物流的任务将变得越来越困难而又重要。农民关于具有成本效益的农场存储和运输及其明智使用的决定，将是未来几年增加利润的关键因素。