An increasing number of technology firms are implementing processes to identify and evaluate the ethical risks of their systems and products. A key part of these review processes is to foresee potential impacts of these technologies on different groups of users. In this article, we use the expression Ethical Foresight Analysis (EFA) to refer to a variety of analytical strategies for anticipating or predicting the ethical issues that new technological artefacts, services, and applications may raise. This article examines several existing EFA methodologies currently in use. It identifies the purposes of ethical foresight, the kinds of methods that current methodologies employ, and the strengths and weaknesses of each of these current approaches. The conclusion is that a new kind of foresight analysis on the ethics of emerging technologies is both feasible and urgently needed.

中文翻译：

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伦理预见分析：它是什么以及为什么需要它？

越来越多的技术公司正在实施流程来识别和评估其系统和产品的道德风险。这些审查过程的一个关键部分是预见这些技术对不同用户群体的潜在影响。在本文中，我们使用道德预见分析 (EFA) 一词来指代各种分析策略，用于预测或预测新技术人工制品、服务和应用程序可能引发的道德问题。本文考察了当前使用的几种现有 EFA 方法。它确定了道德预见的目的、当前方法论采用的方法种类，以及这些当前方法的优缺点。