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Cherry growers’ perceived adaption efficacy to climate change and meteorological hazards in northwest China
International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction ( IF 5 ) Pub Date : 2020-04-22 , DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101620
Zhen Song , Xingmin Shi

In the context of global climate change and frequent meteorological hazards, farmers' adaptive behavior has attracted attention of many scholars. Meanwhile, the perceived adaption efficacy is related to the farmer's ability by which they can accurately and effectively cope with influences of climate change and meteorological hazards. Based on the survey data from interviews with cherry growers of 9 villages in Shaanxi Province of China, this study employs the Theory of Planned Behavior and path analysis to identify the factors affecting the degree of perceived adaption efficacy, and then utilizes the ordinal logistic regression model to explore the influence mechanism of cherry growers' attributes, perception of climate change and perception of meteorological hazards at different stages of cherry growth on the weaker perceived adaption efficacy. The results show that attitude toward the behavior, subjective norm and perceived behavioral control of cherry growers all have significant positive influences on the perceived adaption efficacy. The relatively weaker perceived adaption efficacy is mainly affected by cherry growers' age, household agricultural income, perception of local climate warming in the past 30 years and perception of frost. Finally, targeted recommendations are put forward on the basis of above conclusions.



中文翻译:

西北地区樱桃种植者对气候变化和气象灾害的适应能力

在全球气候变化和频繁的气象灾害的背景下,农民的适应行为引起了许多学者的关注。同时,感知到的适应功效与农民的能力有关,他们可以准确,有效地应对气候变化和气象灾害的影响。基于对陕西省9个村落樱桃种植者的访谈调查数据,本研究运用计划行为理论和路径分析法,确定影响感知适应力程度的因素,然后采用序数逻辑回归模型探索樱桃种植者属性的影响机制,对气候变化的感知和对樱桃生长不同阶段的气象危害的感知,因为感知适应力较弱。结果表明,对樱桃种植者的行为态度,主观规范和知觉行为控制都对知觉适应功效具有显着的积极影响。相对较弱的感知适应力主要受樱桃种植者的年龄,家庭农业收入,过去30年对当地气候变暖的认识以及对霜冻的影响。最后,在上述结论的基础上提出有针对性的建议。相对较弱的感知适应力主要受樱桃种植者的年龄,家庭农业收入,过去30年对当地气候变暖的认识以及对霜冻的影响。最后,在上述结论的基础上提出有针对性的建议。相对较弱的感知适应力主要受樱桃种植者的年龄,家庭农业收入,过去30年对当地气候变暖的认识以及对霜冻的影响。最后,在上述结论的基础上提出有针对性的建议。

更新日期:2020-04-22
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