In port planning, studies regarding port capacity choice are essential for resource allocation. Even though simulation is a method that enables detailing and flexibility for analyzing complex systems such as ports and terminals, it was not found in a systematic literature review a robust method for port capacity assessment based on simulation and capable of analyzing port operations from inland accesses to waterways. That said, this paper aims to propose a simulation-based method for port capacity assessment and expansion planning. The proposed method can associate a capacity value to a given resource configuration and/or indicate which resource configurations are optimal to given expected throughputs. Economic or operational criteria can be chosen for capacity planning. The method is based on Monte Carlo simulations and was tested in a discrete-event simulation model of a container terminal, where berths, storage slots and truck gates had their expansions evaluated. The results will assist port planners in resource configuration decisions, such as when to construct a new berth or acquire new yard equipment.

在港口规划中，有关港口容量选择的研究对于资源分配至关重要。尽管模拟是一种能够详细分析和灵活分析诸如港口和码头之类的复杂系统的方法，但在系统文献中并未找到基于模拟的评估港口能力的可靠方法，并且该方法能够分析从内陆通道到港口的港口运营情况。水路。也就是说，本文旨在提出一种基于仿真的港口容量评估和扩展规划方法。所提出的方法可以将容量值与给定的资源配置相关联和/或指示对于给定的预期吞吐量最佳的资源配置。可以选择经济或运营标准进行容量规划。该方法基于蒙特卡洛模拟，并在集装箱码头的离散事件模拟模型中进行了测试，其中对泊位，存储槽和卡车门进行了评估。结果将帮助港口规划人员进行资源配置决策，例如何时建造新的泊位或购买新的堆场设备。