Abstract Concerns that additional supplies of U.S. farm-raised fish may compete with domestic wild fish has contributed to resistance and litigation that has slowed aquaculture development in the U.S. We employ a contingent choice experiment to large seafood wholesalers and suppliers in the U.S. to investigate market potential of new farmed finfish species from the Gulf of Mexico. We estimate probabilities that wholesale buyers prefer a new farmed product over existing market products using a conditional logit model. The results indicate it is more probable that Gulf farmed fish will substitute for imports than for domestic wild-caught fish given U.S. wholesale buyers have a preference for domestic fish to imported fish, but no significant preference for wild-caught fish to farmed fish.

中文翻译：

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墨西哥湾养殖有鳍鱼的市场潜力

摘要 对美国养殖鱼类的额外供应可能与国内野生鱼类竞争的担忧加剧了阻力和诉讼，减缓了美国水产养殖的发展 我们对美国的大型海鲜批发商和供应商进行了一项偶然选择实验，以调查市场潜力来自墨西哥湾的新养殖有鳍鱼类。我们使用条件 logit 模型估计批发买家更喜欢新的养殖产品而不是现有市场产品的概率。结果表明，鉴于美国批发买家对国产鱼的偏好高于进口鱼，但对野生捕捞的鱼与养殖鱼的偏好不显着，因此海湾养殖鱼类更有可能替代进口而不是国内野生捕捞的鱼。