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Factors influencing the use of adaptation strategies to climate change in paddy lands of Kamfiruz, Iran
Land Use Policy ( IF 6.0 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-01 , DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.104628
Mehdi Esfandiari , Hamid R. Mirzaei Khalilabad , Hossien Mehrabi Boshrabadi , Mohmmad R. Zare Mehrjerdi

Climate variability in recent decades has made it imperative to use adaptation strategies to offset the adverse impacts of climate change. The present study mainly aimed to determine the variables influencing farmers’ decisions on adaptation and to investigate the variables dictating the extent to which each adaptation strategy is used. So, data on production inputs, demographic characteristics, socio-economic attributes, and institutional-cultural factors were collected from 360 rice farmers in the basins of Kamfiruz district, Iran and were analyzed by descriptive statistics, multinomial logit, and the Tobit Heckman two-stage models. The results indicated that the most common adaptation strategies included modifying crop cultivars and changing the area of land under cultivation. Besides, the estimation of the multinomial logit model implied that 13 variables could account for 51.42 % of the variance in the possibility of farmers’ adaptation. Moreover, cultivated land area, seed, fertilizer, pesticide, water, age, educational level, experience, income, land size, and training were the factors found to significantly affect farmers’ decision to apply adaptation practices. Of these explanatory variables, cultivated land area, water, and training were the key factors influencing adaptation strategies while labor and land tenure were not. Finally, a distinction was presented by the two-stage Tobit method between the variables influencing the selection of an adaptation strategy and the variables affecting the extent of the use of adaptation strategies. The policy recommendations for adaptation activities, training courses, land management, and the control of water input are suggested to enhance farmers’ adaptability.

中文翻译:

伊朗 Kamfiruz 稻田气候变化适应策略使用的影响因素

近几十年来的气候变化使得使用适应战略来抵消气候变化的不利影响势在必行。本研究主要旨在确定影响农民适应决策的变量,并调查决定每种适应策略使用程度的变量。因此,从伊朗 Kamfiruz 地区流域的 360 名稻农收集了有关生产投入、人口特征、社会经济属性和制度文化因素的数据,并通过描述性统计、多项式 logit 和 Tobit Heckman 进行了分析。舞台模型。结果表明,最常见的适应策略包括修改作物品种和改变耕地面积。除了,多项logit模型的估计表明,13个变量可以占农民适应可能性方差的51.42%。此外,耕地面积、种子、肥料、农药、水、年龄、教育水平、经验、收入、土地面积和培训是显着影响农民决定采用适应措施的因素。在这些解释变量中,耕地面积、水资源和培训是影响适应策略的关键因素,而劳动力和土地使用权则不是。最后,两阶段 Tobit 方法区分了影响适应策略选择的变量和影响适应策略使用程度的变量。适应活动、培训课程的政策建议,
更新日期:2020-06-01
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