The speed and scope of detection of an infectious disease, in particular, timely identification and reporting of a new pathogen, is a major indicator of a country's ability to control infectious diseases. Findings of the Global Health Security (GHS) index suggest that only 19% of countries have the ability to quickly detect and report epidemics of potential international concern, fewer than 5% of countries can rapidly respond to and mitigate the spread of an epidemic, and no country is fully prepared for epidemics or pandemics. Experience with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) seems to have confirmed these findings.

中文翻译：

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COVID-19 传播建模：从数据到干预。


传染病的发现速度和范围，特别是新病原体的及时识别和报告，是一个国家控制传染病能力的重要指标。全球卫生安全（GHS）指数的调查结果表明，只有19%的国家有能力快速发现和报告潜在国际关注的流行病，不到5%的国家能够快速应对和减缓流行病的传播，没有一个国家对流行病或大流行病做好充分准备。 2019 年冠状病毒病 (COVID-19) 的经验似乎证实了这些发现。