Abstract

Flood is found to be a frequent phenomenon. Over the past few decades, Pakistan has been the home of climate-related disasters like floods. This paper attempts to examine the effect of floods on the rural communities; those are vulnerable to floods, and their livelihood patterns were damaged due to flooding events in Hazara Division. This research study assessed the causes, the impact, and the aftermath of flooding and their link with climate change in Hazara Division (Torghar, Kohistan, Mansehra, Abbottabad, and Haripur). The significance of environmental changes and flood’s threats were discovered and examined through the logistic regressions and then pathway analysis. The findings showed that floods, directly and indirectly, affected the livelihood, social standing, and physical and economic status of rural communities. Rise in poverty level is also reported in already vulnerable communities that further increase their exposure to risks and hazards. This study calls for local government strengthening, early warning systems, and (non)financial assistance in times of needs to minimize the floods risk and disastrous impacts on localities and resources.

中文翻译：

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评估洪水对穷人的生计的不利影响和外部反应的水平：以巴基斯坦哈扎拉分部为例。

摘要

发现洪水是一种常见现象。在过去的几十年中，巴基斯坦一直是洪水等气候相关灾害的发源地。本文试图考察洪水对农村社区的影响。这些人易受洪灾影响，其生计方式由于哈扎拉分区的洪灾而受到破坏。这项研究研究评估了哈扎拉地区（托格哈尔，科希斯坦，曼塞拉，阿伯塔巴德和哈里布尔）洪水的成因，影响和后果及其与气候变化的联系。通过逻辑回归和路径分析，发现并检查了环境变化和洪水威胁的重要性。调查结果表明，洪水直接或间接地影响了农村社区的生计，社会地位以及自然和经济状况。在已经脆弱的社区中，贫困水平也有所上升，这进一步增加了他们面临的风险和危害。这项研究要求地方政府加强，预警系统以及在需要时提供（非）财政援助，以最大程度地减少洪水的风险和对当地及资源的灾难性影响。