Crimes against women in India have been continuously increasing lately as reported by the National Crime Records Bureau. Gender‐based violence has become a serious issue to such an extent that it has been catalogued as a high impact health problem by the World Health Organization. However, there is a lack of spatiotemporal analyses to reveal a complete picture of the geographical and temporal patterns of crimes against women. We focus on analysing how the geographical pattern of ‘dowry deaths’ changes over time in the districts of Uttar Pradesh during the period 2001–2014. The study of the geographical distribution of dowry death incidence and its evolution over time aims to identify specific regions that exhibit high risks and to hypothesize on potential risk factors. We also look into different spatial priors and their effects on final risk estimates. Various priors for the hyperparameters are also reviewed. The risk estimates seem to be robust in terms of the spatial prior and hyperprior choices and final results highlight several districts with extreme risks of dowry death incidence. Statistically significant associations are also found between dowry deaths, sex ratio and some forms of overall crime.

中文翻译：

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印度针对妇女的犯罪：揭露北方邦嫁妆致死的空间格局和时间趋势

根据国家犯罪记录局的报告，印度最近针对妇女的犯罪不断增加。在某种程度上，基于性别的暴力已成为一个严重问题，被世界卫生组织列为具有重大影响的健康问题。但是，缺乏时空分析来全面了解侵害妇女罪行的时空格局。我们专注于分析北方邦2001-2014年期间“嫁妆死亡”的地理格局如何随时间变化。对嫁妆死亡发生率的地理分布及其随时间演变的研究旨在确定表现出高风险的特定区域并假设潜在的风险因素。我们还将研究不同的空间先验及其对最终风险估计的影响。还回顾了超参数的各种先验。就空间优先选择和优先选择而言，风险估计似乎是可靠的，最终结果突出了几个地区发生嫁妆死亡发生的极高风险。在嫁妆死亡，性别比例和某些形式的整体犯罪之间也发现了具有统计意义的关联。