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Analyzing the environmental and economic impact of industrial transfer based on an improved CGE model: Taking the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region as an example
Environmental Impact Assessment Review ( IF 9.8 ) Pub Date : 2020-07-01 , DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2020.106386 Ting Liu , Shuo Pan , Huimin Hou , He Xu
Environmental Impact Assessment Review ( IF 9.8 ) Pub Date : 2020-07-01 , DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2020.106386 Ting Liu , Shuo Pan , Huimin Hou , He Xu
Abstract Industrial transfer within the region is important for attaining sustainable development for worldwide urban agglomerations. In 2015, the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) region began to implement industrial transfer to achieve coordinated regional development. To make up for the gap in the economic-environmental impact assessment of industrial transfer within region, and to provide scientific guidance for the industrial transfer of the BTH region, this study uses an improved Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to assess the economic–environmental impact of industrial transfer within the BTH region at both the provincial and regional levels. Our research finds that the CGE model is suitable for assessing the impact of industry transfer. For the industrial provider, Beijing, the impact on economy (environment) is positive (negative). For the industrial receivers (Tianjin and Hebei), the impact is the opposite. For the whole BTH region, the transfer of manufacturing (services) has positive (negative) impacts on the economy and negative (positive) impacts on the environment. To balance economic and environmental benefits, we suggest that the industrial transfer in the BTH region be carried out in two stages. In the early stage, the transferred industries should be primarily manufacturers. In the later stage, the volume of the transferred service industry should be gradually increased. In general, the focus should be on assessing the impact of industrial transfer within a region.
更新日期：2020-07-01
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