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Case-Fatality Risk Estimates for COVID-19 Calculated by Using a Lag Time for Fatality.
Emerging Infectious Diseases ( IF 7.2 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-17 , DOI: 10.3201/eid2606.200320 Nick Wilson , Amanda Kvalsvig , Lucy Telfar Barnard , Michael G. Baker
Emerging Infectious Diseases ( IF 7.2 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-17 , DOI: 10.3201/eid2606.200320 Nick Wilson , Amanda Kvalsvig , Lucy Telfar Barnard , Michael G. Baker
We estimated the case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease cases in China (3.5%); China, excluding Hubei Province (0.8%); 82 countries, territories, and areas (4.2%); and on a cruise ship (0.6%). Lower estimates might be closest to the true value, but a broad range of 0.25%-3.0% probably should be considered.
更新日期：2020-03-13
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