Navigation via the Northern Sea Route (NSR) requires specific vessels in comparison with the Suez Canal Route (SCR). We develop a profit decision model that defines the best option mixing the shipping lane (NSR or SCR) and the ice-class of the vessel (1A, 1AS, and Open Water (OW)) for oil producers operating in the Russian Arctic zone. The effects of the Brent barrel price, bunker cost and ice-thickness are analyzed. The best option depends in fact on the strategy implemented by the shipper. For instance, the solutions of a profit focused strategy or of a cost-oriented strategy are different.

中文翻译：

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北极原油的最佳海上运输选择：利润决策模型

与苏伊士运河航线（SCR）相比，通过北海航线（NSR）航行需要特定的船只。我们为俄罗斯北极地区的石油生产商开发了一个利润决策模型，该模型定义了混合运输路线（NSR或SCR）和船舶的冰级（1A，1AS和开放水域（OW））的最佳选择。分析了布伦特原油价格，燃油价格和冰厚的影响。最佳选择实际上取决于托运人实施的策略。例如，以利润为中心的策略或以成本为导向的策略的解决方案是不同的。