Banana is an important livelihood source for more than 12 million smallholder farmers in Uganda. Despite this contribution, its productivity continues to decline due to Banana Xanthomonas wilt (BXW). Cultural practices have been deployed to effectively control BXW but require a continuous and timely application, thus, prompting scientists to develop genetically modified (GM) bananas which display BXW resistance or tolerance. With prospects for commercialization of these GM bananas on the agenda, this paper applied a Contingent Valuation Method to assess producer acceptance of GM banana suckers among 233 banana producing households. Results show that producers were willing to pay between Ugandan shillings (UGX) 1100 to 1700 (US$0.28-0.44) per GM banana sucker Annual demand for GM banana suckers ranged from 70 to 82 million suckers. The results suggest that, in the event of not commercializing BXW-resistant GM bananas, Uganda loses an annual revenue ranging from UGX 76 to 139 billion (US$ 19.51 to 35.70 million).

中文翻译：

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评估乌干达香蕉生产家庭中转基因种植材料市场的或有估值分析。

香蕉是乌干达1200万小农的重要生计来源。尽管做出了这种贡献，但由于香蕉黄单胞菌（BXW）的影响，其生产力继续下降。已经部署了文化实践来有效控制BXW，但需要连续及时的应用，因此促使科学家开发出表现出BXW抗性或耐受性的转基因（GM）香蕉。鉴于这些转基因香蕉的商业化前景已提上日程，本文采用了一种或有评估方法，以评估生产者对233个香蕉生产家庭对转基因香蕉吸盘的接受程度。结果表明，生产商愿意为每只转基因香蕉吸盘支付1100至1700乌干达先令（UGX）（0.28-0.44美元）的价格。每年对转基因香蕉吸盘的需求介于70到8200万吸盘之间。