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A prospective multisite examination of dynamic sexual violence risk: Extension and update to Olver, Nicholaichuk, Kingston, and Wong (2014).
Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology ( IF 4.5 ) Pub Date : 2020-04-01 , DOI: 10.1037/ccp0000478
Mark E Olver 1 , Terry P Nicholaichuk 1 , Drew A Kingston 2 , Stephen C P Wong 1
Affiliation  

OBJECTIVE The present study is an extension and update of Olver, Nicholaichuk, Kingston, and Wong's (2014) prospective multisite examination of sexual violence risk and treatment change on a large federal Canadian sample of 570 treated sexual offenders rated pretreatment and posttreatment on the Violence Risk Scale-Sexual Offense version (VRS-SO). METHOD The present study featured the clinical application of a risk assessment and treatment planning tool, the VRS-SO, with recidivism outcome data updated by 4 years to a total of 10.2 years. VRS-SO change scores, representing reductions in sexual violence risk from treatment or other change agents (e.g., aging), were reanalyzed in terms of their associations with community sexual, violent, and general recidivism postrelease. RESULTS Recidivism base rates increased with the concordant increase in follow-up time. VRS-SO risk scores significantly predicted all recidivism outcomes, whereas change scores were consistently associated with decreases in sexual and violent recidivism after controlling for baseline risk through bivariate (d = -.24 to -.61) and Cox regression survival analyses (eB = .878 to .938). CONCLUSIONS The results affirm the dynamic nature of sexual violence risk and demonstrate that structured assessments of change, linked to participation in sexual offense specific treatment, to be associated with decreases in future sexual offending as well as other recidivism outcomes. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2020 APA, all rights reserved).

中文翻译:

动态性暴力风险的前瞻性多站点检查:Olver,Nicholaichuk,Kingston和Wong(2014)的扩展和更新。

目的本研究是Olver,Nicholaichuk,Kingston和Wong(2014)对性暴力风险和治疗变化的前瞻性多站点检查的扩展和更新,该调查对加拿大联邦政府对570名经治疗的性犯罪者进行了大规模评估,评估了暴力风险的治疗前后规模性犯罪版本(VRS-SO)。方法:本研究的特点是风险评估和治疗计划工具VRS-SO的临床应用,其累犯结果数据由4年更新为总计10.2年。根据与社区性,暴力和再犯后释放之间的关联性,重新分析了VRS-SO变更得分,该得分代表来自治疗或其他变更媒介(例如衰老)的性暴力风险降低。结果累犯基础率随随访时间的增加而增加。VRS-SO风险评分显着预测了所有累犯的结果,而变化评分与通过双变量(d = -.24至-.61)和Cox回归生存分析(eB = .878至.938)。结论结果证实了性暴力风险的动态性质,并表明与参加性犯罪特定治疗有关的结构化变化评估与未来性犯罪以及其他累犯结果的减少相关。(PsycINFO数据库记录(c)2020 APA,保留所有权利)。而通过双变量(d = -.24至-.61)和Cox回归生存分析(eB = .878至.938)控制基线风险后,变化评分与性和暴力再犯的减少持续相关。结论结果证实了性暴力风险的动态性质,并表明与参加性犯罪特定治疗有关的结构化变化评估与未来性犯罪以及其他累犯结果的减少相关。(PsycINFO数据库记录(c)2020 APA,保留所有权利)。而通过双变量(d = -.24至-.61)和Cox回归生存分析(eB = .878至.938)控制基线风险后,变化评分与性和暴力再犯的减少持续相关。结论结果证实了性暴力风险的动态性质,并表明与参加性犯罪特定治疗有关的结构化变化评估与未来性犯罪以及其他累犯结果的减少相关。(PsycINFO数据库记录(c)2020 APA,保留所有权利)。结论结果证实了性暴力风险的动态性质,并表明与参加性犯罪特定治疗有关的结构化变化评估与未来性犯罪以及其他累犯结果的减少相关。(PsycINFO数据库记录(c)2020 APA,保留所有权利)。结论结果证实了性暴力风险的动态性质,并表明与参加性犯罪特定治疗有关的结构化变化评估与未来性犯罪以及其他累犯结果的减少相关。(PsycINFO数据库记录(c)2020 APA,保留所有权利)。
更新日期:2020-04-01
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