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Predicting the Past
IEEE Software ( IF 2.945 ) Pub Date : 2020-02-11 , DOI: 10.1109/ms.2019.2957634
Gerard J. Holzmann

Shortly after the end of the Second World War, there was a strong interest in improving the accuracy of weather forecasts. The importance of this was clear: if you can accurately predict storms, or any type of adverse weather, you have a much better chance to prepare for its effects and stay safe. George Dyson1 wrote about this in Turing's Cathedral: "In 1945 meteorology had become a science, while forecasting remained an art....On average, forecasts beyond twenty-four hours were still no better than 'persistence'-predicting that the weather tomorrow will be the same as it was today."
更新日期:2020-02-14

 

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