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The Future of Midlatitude Cyclones
Current Climate Change Reports ( IF 9.5 ) Pub Date : 2019-11-15 , DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00149-4
Jennifer L. Catto , Duncan Ackerley , James F. Booth , Adrian J. Champion , Brian A. Colle , Stephan Pfahl , Joaquim G. Pinto , Julian F. Quinting , Christian Seiler

Purpose of Review

This review brings together recent research on the structure, characteristics, dynamics, and impacts of extratropical cyclones in the future. It draws on research using idealized models and complex climate simulations, to evaluate what is known and unknown about these future changes.

Recent Findings

There are interacting processes that contribute to the uncertainties in future extratropical cyclone changes, e.g., changes in the horizontal and vertical structure of the atmosphere and increasing moisture content due to rising temperatures.

Summary

While precipitation intensity will most likely increase, along with associated increased latent heating, it is unclear to what extent and for which particular climate conditions this will feedback to increase the intensity of the cyclones. Future research could focus on bridging the gap between idealized models and complex climate models, as well as better understanding of the regional impacts of future changes in extratropical cyclones.



中文翻译:

中纬度旋风的未来

审查目的

这篇综述汇集了有关未来温带气旋的结构,特征,动力学和影响的最新研究。它使用理想化模型和复杂的气候模拟进行研究,以评估这些未来变化的已知和未知情况。

最近的发现

有相互作用的过程导致未来温带气旋变化的不确定性,例如,大气水平和垂直结构的变化以及由于温度升高而导致的水分含量增加。

概要

虽然降水强度很可能会增加,同时伴随的潜在热量也会增加,但尚不清楚这将反馈到什么程度以及在哪种特定的气候条件下会增加旋风的强度。未来的研究可能集中在弥合理想化模型与复杂气候模型之间的鸿沟,以及更好地了解温带气旋未来变化对区域的影响。
更新日期:2019-11-15
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