Turkey ranked seventh among cement-producing countries in the world, and the country is also one of the extensive producers in the world cement market with cement production nearly 77 million tons. There are more than 50 functional cement plants over 90 Mt/year production capacity in Turkey. In this study, we present the ways of Turkish cement sector emissions fit into the global context, and simulate the impacts of energy efficiency scenarios on Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emitted from energy consumption of Turkish cement production and on total energy demands relevant with the cement production/tons from 2015 to 2030. We employ Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) software for the simulation of the GHGs emitted from the Turkish cement industry in a global context, and we establish business as usual (BAU) and five alternative energy efficiency scenarios for this study. We suggest six possible mitigation strategy recommendations to reduce CO₂ emissions in cement production. Among them, three of them are related to policy and strategy applying, such as increasing awareness, applying different strategies, and improving the governmental policies; and another three of them are directly linked to technological mitigation applications as improving the technology and materials, fuel and energy saving, and CO₂ capture and disposal. For 2030; we simulate that more than 15 Mtoe energy consumption will be the main reason for more than 53 million tons of CO₂-e emissions per year. The low GHG emissions value is found by applying the energy efficiency 3% (ENE3) scenario where the emission trend starts at 21.12 million tons of CO₂-e per year in 2014 and ends up 33.2 million tons of CO₂-e per year in 2030.

中文翻译：

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在全球范围内模拟土耳其水泥行业到2030年的未来能源消耗和温室气体排放

土耳其在世界水泥生产国中排名第七，该国还是世界水泥市场上广泛的生产国之一，水泥产量近7700万吨。土耳其有超过50家功能性水泥厂，年产能超过90Mt。在这项研究中，我们介绍了土耳其水泥行业的排放方式如何适应全球环境，并模拟了能源效率情景对土耳其水泥生产能耗产生的温室气体（GHG）以及与水泥相关的总能源需求的影响2015年至2030年的产量/吨。我们使用远程能源替代计划系统（LEAP）软件在全球范围内模拟土耳其水泥行业排放的温室气体，我们为此研究建立了“一切照旧”（BAU）和五个替代能源效率方案。我们建议六种可能的缓解策略建议以减少二氧化碳₂水泥生产中的排放量。其中三项与政策和战略的应用有关，例如提高认识，应用不同的战略和改进政府政策；它们中的另外三个与改善技术和材料，节省燃料和能源以及捕获和处置CO _2的技术缓解应用程序直接相关。2030年；我们模拟出，超过15 Mtoe的能耗将是每年超过5300万吨CO ₂ -e排放的主要原因。通过应用3％的能源效率（ENE3）情景可以发现低的温室气体排放值，该情景的排放趋势在2014年开始于每年2112万吨CO ₂ -e，最终达到3320万吨CO在2030年每年₂ -e。