The Mediterranean region, expanding across Southern Europe and North Africa, has developed agricultural systems over thousands of years and today is a major agricultural trade actor in the global market. At the same time, environmental and social equity differences in the region are pronounced, and this inequality is reflected in the production of traditional Mediterranean crops, such as grapevine (Vitis vinifera L.), a permanent wood crop, well adapted to the lack of water and recurrent drought in the region, and that has a role in the mitigation role of agriculture in arid environments. Increasing the ability to adapt to adverse impacts of climate change is an important task for Mediterranean agriculture. The indicators selected are widely used by practitioners in this grapevine production sector, linking science to the tools used by stakeholders and therefore encouraging action and innovation among all stakeholders. The novelty of the study is: the definition of adaptation needs based on a combination of indicators of production quantity and quality with a consistent set of climate scenarios; the evaluation of probabilistic changes with special emphasis on drought in a region that has very large climate variability; the definition of adaptation needs based on a consistent set of scenarios in an over 2 million km²; and the evaluation of potential adaptation choices that may contribute to real-time policy analysis and development as national and international policies and agreements in the grapevine production sector. The climate changes scenarios are derived from global datasets. Adaptation efforts are estimated proportionally to the change of the climatic indices and are categorized into low, medium, or high, as a function of the excepted changes in climatic indices. The study emphasizes that non-informed adaptation limits future choices in areas severely impacted.

地中海地区扩展到南欧和北非，已经发展了数千年的农业体系，如今已成为全球市场上的主要农业贸易参与者。同时，该地区在环境和社会平等方面的差异非常明显，这种不平等现象在传统的地中海作物（如葡萄（Vitis vinifera）L.），一种永久性的木本作物，非常适合该地区缺水和经常干旱的情况，并且在干旱环境中减轻农业的影响。提高适应气候变化不利影响的能力是地中海农业的一项重要任务。所选择的指标已被该葡萄种植业的从业人员广泛使用，它们将科学与利益相关者使用的工具联系在一起，因此鼓励所有利益相关者之间的行动和创新。这项研究的新颖性是：根据生产数量和质量指标与一套一致的气候情景的结合来确定适应需求；对概率变化的评估，特别是在气候变化多变的地区，重点是干旱；² ; 评估可能的适应选择，这些选择可能有助于实时政策分析和发展，成为葡萄生产部门的国家和国际政策与协议。气候变化情景来自全球数据集。根据气候指数的变化按比例估算适应努力，并根据气候指数的异常变化将其分为低，中或高。这项研究强调，无知的适应会限制受严重影响地区的未来选择。