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Forest fires across Portuguese municipalities: zones of similar incidence, interactions and benchmarks
Environmental and Ecological Statistics ( IF 3.8 ) Pub Date : 2018-08-16 , DOI: 10.1007/s10651-018-0411-9
Vítor João Pereira Domingues Martinho

Every year fires cause several problems and considerable damage to the Portuguese socioeconomic context and to forest resources and activities, despite the significant financial support, from national and European Union budgets, towards prevention. This is an annual scourge that requires multidisciplinary analysis to aid in the design of adjusted firefighting strategies. In this framework, the objective of the study presented here is to investigate if there are Portuguese regions where the incidences of fire, in terms of number of fires and burnt area, are similar, helping toward the creation of firefighting policies in cooperation with neighbouring municipalities. On the other hand, there is a need to understand the interactions of these contexts between the environment and human ecology and finally find municipalities that may be considered as a benchmark for others around them. For this, data from the Statistics Portugal (INE in Several statistics and informations, 2015. https://www.ine.pt/xportal/xmain?xpid=INE&xpgid=ine_base_dados), for the period 2000–2013, was used and analyzed through descriptive and cross-section techniques and data envelopment analysis (DEA) for the municipalities of Continental Portugal. For the cross-section analysis, the GeoDa (Software. GeoDa Center for Geospatial Analysis and Computation, 2015) software was used considering spatial autocorrelation methodologies and for the DEA the DEAP (DEAP V2.1—a data envelopment analysis (computer) program, 2017. http://www.uq.edu.au/economics/cepa/deap.php) program. The results show that there is spatial autocorrelation across Portuguese municipalities, in the period considered, for the variables considered, which allows for the definition of “regions of similar incidence” for which similar policies can be designed, namely those promoting cooperation among neighbouring municipalities. In turn, some municipalities may be considered as benchmarks inside zones of similar incidence.

中文翻译:

葡萄牙各城市的森林大火:发生率,相互作用和基准相似的区域

尽管国家和欧盟预算为预防工作提供了巨大的资金支持,但每年的大火都给葡萄牙的社会经济环境,森林资源和活动造成了许多问题,并造成了严重破坏。这是一项年度灾难,需要进行多学科分析,以帮助设计调整后的消防策略。在此框架下,此处提出的研究目的是调查在葡萄牙的某些地区,火灾发生的次数(火灾次数和燃烧面积)是否相似,从而有助于与邻近城市合作制定消防政策。另一方面,有必要了解这些环境与人类生态之间的相互作用,并最终找到可以被视为周围其他城市基准的城市。为此,使用并分析了葡萄牙统计局的数据(INE在2015年的一些统计和信息中。https://www.ine.pt/xportal/xmain?xpid = INE&xpgid = ine_base_dados)通过描述性和横截面技术以及数据包络分析(DEA)为葡萄牙大陆提供了便利。对于横截面分析,使用了GeoDa(软件。GeoDa地理空间分析和计算中心,2015)软件,该软件考虑了空间自相关方法,对于DEA,则使用了DEAP(DEAP V2.1,一种数据包络分析(计算机)程序, 2017年。http://www.uq.edu.au/economics/cepa/deap。php)程序。结果表明,在所考虑的时期内,葡萄牙各市之间存在空间自相关性,从而考虑到了可以设计类似政策的“相似事件发生区域”的定义,即那些促进邻近城市之间合作的政策。反过来,某些自治市可被视为类似事件区域内的基准。
更新日期:2018-08-16
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