Abstract Future climate scenarios predict significant changes in the availability of water resources at global and regional scales. Knowledge of the possible economic consequences of this are limited by a shortage of data linking economic activity with physical water use. Matching a unique premise-level dataset to economic indicators at industrial/sector level, this paper undertakes a decomposition of changes in industrial water demand for Scotland between 2012 and 2016. Results highlight the importance of taking a sectoral approach, as changes in sectoral water intensity are significant. Furthermore, changes in the structure of the economy, i.e. a move away from water-intensive industries, highlight further reductions in overall water consumption. By considering future scenarios for Scottish water resources, this paper identifies key multi-disciplinary research challenges to address the major obstacles in developing a climate-ready water policy, which also captures the potential economic opportunities for Scotland from an awareness of the role of water in the economy.

中文翻译：

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苏格兰的工业用水：了解近期变化并审视未来

摘要 未来的气候情景预测全球和区域范围内水资源可用性的显着变化。由于缺乏将经济活动与实际用水联系起来的数据，因此对其可能的经济后果的了解有限。将独特的前提数据集与工业/部门层面的经济指标相匹配，本文对 2012 年至 2016 年苏格兰工业用水需求的变化进行了分解。结果强调了采用部门方法的重要性，因为部门用水强度的变化意义重大。此外，经济结构的变化，即远离用水密集型行业，突出了总体用水量的进一步减少。通过考虑苏格兰水资源的未来情景，