Stalls in fertility decline were first identified in Ghana and Kenya in the early 2000s, and since then as many as 20 African countries have been classified in the “stall” category at some point. The countries and time periods in which they occurred are not well established, however, and whether stalls in sub‐Saharan Africa are pervasive or not remains an open question. This article identifies where and when fertility stalls have occurred in sub‐Saharan Africa. I combine a variety of data sources and methods to identify cases of fertility stalls strongly supported by the data. I find unambiguous support for stalls in two countries (Namibia and Zimbabwe), very strong support in three additional countries (Congo, Kenya, and Zambia), and fairly strong support in Cameroon, in the early 2000s. Stalls are possible in seven cases in six other countries (Côte d'Ivoire, Gabon, Madagascar, Nigeria, South Africa, and Tanzania), where evidence is moderate. Fertility stalls in sub‐Saharan Africa are thus not widespread, but they are not exceptional either. Further research on the causes of these stalls is key to a better understanding of the future paths of fertility in sub‐Saharan Africa.

中文翻译：

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撒哈拉以南非洲生育转型的停滞：重新审视证据。

生育率下降的失速最早是在2000年代初在加纳和肯尼亚发现的，从那以后，多达20个非洲国家被归类为“失速”类别。然而，发生这些事件的国家和时间段尚不明确，撒哈拉以南非洲的失速是否普遍存在仍然是一个悬而未决的问题。本文确定了撒哈拉以南非洲何时何地发生生育失速。我结合了多种数据源和方法来确定数据强烈支持的生育失速案例。我发现在两个国家（纳米比亚和津巴布韦）对摊位的明确支持，在另外三个国家（刚果，肯尼亚和赞比亚）的大力支持，以及在2000年代初期在喀麦隆的相当有力的支持。在证据中等的其他六个国家（科特迪瓦，加蓬，马达加斯加，尼日利亚，南非和坦桑尼亚），有七个案例可能失速。因此，撒哈拉以南非洲的生育摊位并不普遍，但也不例外。进一步研究造成这些失速的原因是更好地了解撒哈拉以南非洲未来生育途径的关键。