OBJECTIVE This study empirically evaluated risk judgments made using the Risk for Sexual Violence Protocol (RSVP; Hart et al., 2003), a widely used set of structured professional guidelines for assessing and managing sexual violence risk. HYPOTHESIS Based on evaluations of other structured professional judgment guidelines, we hypothesized that judgments made using the RSVP would demonstrate good interrater reliability, concurrent validity, and predictive validity. METHOD Based on file review, research assistants made ratings using the RSVP and two commonly used actuarial tools for sexual violence risk assessment in a sample of 100 adult male sexual offenders who successfully completed a community-based sex offender treatment program. Recidivism information was obtained from official records 10 years after treatment completion. RESULTS With respect to interrater reliability, judgments of the presence and relevance of individual risk factors ranged from moderate to almost perfect, and those for composite scores reflecting the sum of these ratings were almost perfect. Interrater reliability for integrative summary risk ratings was substantial to almost perfect. Regarding concurrent validity, the findings indicated that judgments made using the RSVP had moderate to large and statistically significant correlations with scores on the actuarial tools. Finally, with respect to predictive validity, RSVP presence total scores and summary risk ratings were predictive of new sexual violence over the follow-up, and the magnitude of their predictive validity effect sizes was similar to that of scores on the actuarial tools. CONCLUSIONS The findings supported the potential utility of the RSVP in practice. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2019 APA, all rights reserved).

中文翻译：

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性暴力方案风险的评估者间信度，并发效度和预测效度。

目的本研究根据经验评估使用《性暴力风险规程》（RSVP； Hart等，2003）做出的风险判断，该规程是一套广泛使用的结构化专业准则，用于评估和管理性暴力风险。假设基于对其他结构化专业判断准则的评估，我们假设使用RSVP进行的判断将显示出良好的内在信度，并发效度和预测效度。方法基于文件审查，研究助理使用RSVP和两个常用的精算工具对性暴力风险评估进行了评估，该样本来自100名成功完成基于社区的性犯罪者治疗计划的成年男性性犯罪者。治疗完成10年后，从官方记录中获得累犯信息。结果关于个体间可靠性，对单个风险因素的存在和相关性的判断范围从中度到几乎完美，对于反映这些等级总和的综合评分的判断几乎是完美的。综合汇总风险评级的评估者间可靠性非常重要，几乎是完美的。关于并发有效性，研究结果表明，使用RSVP进行的判断与精算工具得分之间存在中等到较大的统计显着相关性。最后，关于预测效度，RSVP在场总得分和总体风险等级可预测随访中是否发生新的性暴力，其预测效度效应大小与精算工具上的得分相似。结论结论支持了RSVP在实践中的潜在用途。（PsycINFO数据库记录（c）2019 APA，保留所有权利）。