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A computational model for designing energy behaviour change interventions
User Modeling and User-Adapted Interaction ( IF 3.0 ) Pub Date : 2017-12-18 , DOI: 10.1007/s11257-017-9199-9
Nataliya Mogles 1 , Julian Padget 2 , Elizabeth Gabe-Thomas 3 , Ian Walker 2 , JeeHang Lee 4
Affiliation  

The conflicting evidence in the literature on energy feedback as a driver for energy behaviour change has lead to the realization that it is a complex problem and that interventions must be proposed and evaluated in the context of a tangled web of individual and societal factors. We put forward an integrated agent-based computational model of energy consumption behaviour change interventions based on personal values and energy literacy, informed by research in persuasive technologies, environmental, educational and cognitive psychology, sociology, and energy education. Our objectives are: (i) to build a framework to accommodate a rich variety of models that might impact consumption decisions, (ii) to use the simulation as a means to evaluate persuasive technologies in-silico prior to deployment. The model novelty lies in its capacity to connect the determinants of energy related behaviour (values, energy literacy and social practices) and several generic design strategies proposed in the area of persuasive technologies within one framework. We validate the framework using survey data and personal value and energy consumption data extracted from a 2-year field study in Exeter, UK. The preliminary evaluation results demonstrate that the model can predict energy saving behaviour much better than a random model and can correctly estimate the effect of persuasive technologies. The model can be embedded into an adaptive decision-making system for energy behaviour change.

中文翻译:

用于设计能源行为改变干预措施的计算模型

文献中关于能量反馈作为能量行为改变的驱动因素的相互矛盾的证据导致人们意识到这是一个复杂的问题,必须在个人和社会因素错综复杂的背景下提出和评估干预措施。我们提出了一个基于个人价值观和能源素养的能源消费行为改变干预的综合代理计算模型,并通过对说服技术、环境、教育和认知心理学、社会学和能源教育的研究提供信息。我们的目标是:(i) 构建一个框架,以适应可能影响消费决策的丰富多样的模型,(ii) 使用模拟作为一种手段,在部署之前对有说服力的技术进行评估。该模型的新颖之处在于它能够将能源相关行为(价值观、能源素养和社会实践)的决定因素与在一个框架内的说服技术领域提出的几种通用设计策略联系起来。我们使用从英国埃克塞特为期 2 年的实地研究中提取的调查数据以及个人价值和能源消耗数据来验证该框架。初步评估结果表明,该模型比随机模型能更好地预测节能行为,并能正确估计说服技术的效果。该模型可以嵌入到能源行为变化的自适应决策系统中。能源素养和社会实践)以及在一个框架内在说服技术领域提出的几种通用设计策略。我们使用从英国埃克塞特为期 2 年的实地研究中提取的调查数据以及个人价值和能源消耗数据来验证该框架。初步评估结果表明,该模型比随机模型能更好地预测节能行为,并能正确估计说服技术的效果。该模型可以嵌入到能源行为变化的自适应决策系统中。能源素养和社会实践)以及在一个框架内在说服技术领域提出的几种通用设计策略。我们使用从英国埃克塞特为期 2 年的实地研究中提取的调查数据以及个人价值和能源消耗数据来验证该框架。初步评估结果表明,该模型比随机模型能更好地预测节能行为,并能正确估计说服技术的效果。该模型可以嵌入到能源行为变化的自适应决策系统中。初步评估结果表明,该模型比随机模型能更好地预测节能行为,并能正确估计说服技术的效果。该模型可以嵌入到能源行为变化的自适应决策系统中。初步评估结果表明,该模型比随机模型能更好地预测节能行为,并能正确估计说服技术的效果。该模型可以嵌入到能源行为变化的自适应决策系统中。
更新日期:2017-12-18
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