Residential structure fires pose a significant risk to life and property. A major source of these fires is the ignition of upholstered furniture by cigarettes. It has long been established that cigarettes and other lighted tobacco products could ignite upholstered furniture and were a leading cause of fire deaths in residences. In recent years, states have adopted fire standard compliant cigarettes (‘FSC cigarettes’) that are made with a wrapping paper that contains regularly spaced bands, which increases the likelihood of self-extinguishment. This paper measures the effectiveness of FSC cigarettes on the number of residential fires involving upholstered furniture, and the resulting fatalities, injuries, and extent of flame spread, while accounting for the under-reporting of fire incidents. In total, four models were estimated using fire department data from 2002 to 2011. The results provide evidence that FSC cigarettes, on average, reduced the number of residential fires by 45%, reduced fatalities by 23%, and extent of flame spread by 27% in 2011. No effect on injuries was found. Within each state, effectiveness is moderated by the number of smokers and their consumption patterns. In general, FSC cigarettes are more effective in places with a large smoking population who engage in heavier smoking. There is a very limited effect on the lightest of smokers, suggesting behavioral differences between heavy and light smokers that influence fire risk.

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涉及住宅软垫家具的卷烟火灾：吸烟者、吸烟者行为和符合消防标准的卷烟所起的作用

住宅结构火灾对生命和财产构成重大风险。这些火灾的一个主要来源是香烟点燃软垫家具。长期以来，香烟和其他点燃的烟草制品会点燃软垫家具，是住宅火灾死亡的主要原因。近年来，各州采用了符合防火标准的卷烟（“FSC 卷烟”），这些卷烟由包含规则间隔带的包装纸制成，这增加了自熄的可能性。本文测量了 FSC 卷烟对涉及软垫家具的住宅火灾数量以及由此造成的死亡、伤害和火焰蔓延程度的有效性，同时考虑了火灾事故报告不足的情况。总共，使用 2002 年至 2011 年的消防部门数据估计了四个模型。 结果证明，FSC 卷烟在 2011 年平均将住宅火灾数量减少了 45%，将死亡人数减少了 23%，火焰蔓延程度减少了 27% . 没有发现对伤害的影响。在每个州内，吸烟者的数量及其消费模式会影响有效性。一般而言，FSC 卷烟在吸烟人群较多且吸烟较重的地方更有效。对最轻的吸烟者的影响非常有限，这表明重度吸烟者和轻度吸烟者之间的行为差​​异会影响火灾风险。2011 年火焰蔓延程度增加了 27%。未发现对伤害的影响。在每个州内，吸烟者的数量及其消费模式会影响有效性。一般而言，FSC 卷烟在吸烟人群较多且吸烟较重的地方更有效。对最轻的吸烟者的影响非常有限，这表明重度吸烟者和轻度吸烟者之间的行为差​​异会影响火灾风险。2011 年火焰蔓延程度增加了 27%。未发现对伤害的影响。在每个州内，吸烟者的数量及其消费模式会影响有效性。一般而言，FSC 卷烟在吸烟人群较多且吸烟较重的地方更有效。对最轻的吸烟者的影响非常有限，这表明重度吸烟者和轻度吸烟者之间的行为差​​异会影响火灾风险。