"A set of log-rate models is proposed to transform Rogers and Wilson's accounting-based migration models into statistics-oriented migration models. This study demonstrates not only how log-rate models can be used to replicate results generated from Rogers-Wilson's cohort and multi-region mobility models, but also how log-rate models can be used to make statistical inferences and to derive more parsimonious models. Estimation issues and model fit are discussed, and case studies with U.S. mobility and interregional migration data are provided. The flexibility of log-rate models is emphasized, and possible uses for such models, such as the testing of various hypotheses and migration projection, are explored. Potential applications and limitations of log-rate models are also discussed." (EXCERPT)

中文翻译：

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评估美国移民模式的结构变化：对数率建模方法

“提出了一组对数率模型，将 Rogers 和 Wilson 基于会计的迁移模型转变为面向统计的迁移模型。这项研究不仅展示了如何使用对数率模型来复制 Rogers-Wilson 队列产生的结果，而且多区域流动性模型，以及如何使用对数率模型进行统计推断和推导出更简约的模型。讨论了估计问题和模型拟合，并提供了美国流动性和区域间迁移数据的案例研究。灵活性强调了对数率模型的重要性，并探讨了此类模型的可能用途，例如各种假设的检验和迁移预测。还讨论了对数率模型的潜在应用和局限性。” （摘抄）