当前位置：
X-MOL 学术
›
Math. Popul. Stud.
›
论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your
feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Modelling regional population growth in China
Mathematical Population Studies ( IF 1.4 ) Pub Date : 1997-03-01 , DOI: 10.1080/08898489709525434 Jianfa Shen , Nigel Spence
Mathematical Population Studies ( IF 1.4 ) Pub Date : 1997-03-01 , DOI: 10.1080/08898489709525434 Jianfa Shen , Nigel Spence
"This paper develops a forward demographic rates-based multiregional population model on the basis of a set of multiregional population accounts. Forward emigration rates and immigration flows are adopted to describe the external migrations. The model is used to make consistent multiregional population projections of China at a provincial level.... Three sets of multiregional population projections of China at provincial level are made for the period 1987-2087. It is found that the national population trend is a combination of various regional population trends. Some regions, such as Zhejiang, will reach their population peak as early as the beginning of the next century while other regions, such as Xinjiang, will face continuous population growth in the first half of the next century."
更新日期：1997-03-01
京公网安备 11010802027423号