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The 1895 Ljubljana earthquake: can the intensity data points discriminate which one of the nearby faults was the causative one?
Journal of Seismology ( IF 1.6 ) Pub Date : 2018-05-30 , DOI: 10.1007/s10950-018-9743-z
Lara Tiberi 1 , Giovanni Costa 1 , Petra Jamšek Rupnik 2 , Ina Cecić 3 , Peter Suhadolc 1
Affiliation  

The earthquake (Mw 6 from the SHEEC defined by the MDPs) that occurred in the central part of Slovenia on 14 April, 1895, affected a broad region, causing deaths, injuries, and destruction. This event was much studied but not fully explained; in particular, its causative source model is still debated. The aim of this work is to contribute to the identification of the seismogenic source of this destructive event, calculating peak ground velocity values through the use of different ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs) and computing a series of ground motion scenarios based on the result of an inversion work proposed by Jukić in 2009 and on various fault models in the surroundings of Ljubljana: Vič, Želimlje, Borovnica, Vodice, Ortnek, Mišjedolski, and Dobrepolje faults. The synthetic seismograms, at the basis of our computations, are calculated using the multi-modal summation technique and a kinematic approach for extended sources, with a maximum peak ground velocity value of 1 Hz. The qualitative and quantitative comparison of these simulations with the macroseismic intensity database allows us to discriminate between various sources and configurations. The quantitative validation of the seismic source is done using ad hoc ground motion to intensity conversion equations (GMICEs), expressly calculated for this study. This study allows us to identify the most probable causative source model of this event, contributing to the improvement of the seismotectonic knowledge of this region. The candidate fault that has the lowest values of average differences between observed and calculated intensities and chi-squared is a strike slip fault with a toward-north rupture as the Ortnek fault.

中文翻译:

1895年卢布尔雅那地震:强度数据点能否区分附近的哪个断裂是起因?

1895年4月14日发生在斯洛文尼亚中部的地震(由MDP定义的SHEEC的Mw 6)影响了广阔的地区,造成死亡,伤亡和破坏。对该事件进行了深入研究,但没有充分解释。特别是,其成因的来源模型仍在争论中。这项工作的目的是有助于识别这种破坏性事件的震源,通过使用不同的地面运动预测方程(GMPE)计算峰值地面速度值,并根据观测结果计算一系列地面运动情景。于奇奇(Jukić)在2009年提出的反演工作以及卢布尔雅那(Ljubljana)周围地区的各种断层模型:维奇(Vič),Želimlje,波罗夫尼察(Borovnica),伏迪切(Vodice),奥尔特涅克(Ortnek),米什多尔多斯基(Mišjedolski)和多布雷波尔耶(Dobrepolje)断层。根据我们的计算,合成地震图 使用多模式求和技术和运动学方法对扩展源进行计算,最大地面速度峰值为1 Hz。这些模拟与大地震强度数据库的定性和定量比较,使我们能够区分各种来源和构造。地震源的定量验证是使用特设的地震动到强度转换方程式(GMICEs)进行的,该方程式是为本研究明确计算的。这项研究使我们能够确定该事件最可能的原因源模型,从而有助于改善该地区的地震构造知识。
更新日期:2018-05-30
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