Background: Assessing program effectiveness in human development is central to informing foreign aid policy-making and organizational learning. Foreign aid effectiveness discussions have increasingly given attention to the devaluing effects of aid flow volatility. This study reveals that the external evaluation event influences actor behavior, serving as a volatility-constraining tool. Method: A case study of a multidonor aid development mechanism served examining the influence of an evaluation event when considering anticipatory effects. The qualitative component used text and focus group data combined with individual interview data (organizations n = 10, including 26 individuals). Quantitative data included financial information on all 75 capital investments. The integrated theory of influence and model of alternative mechanisms used these components to identify the linkage between the evaluation event and capital flow volatility. Results: Aid approved in the year of the midterm evaluation was disbursed by the mechanism with low capital volatility. Anticipating the evaluation event influenced behavior resulting in an empirical record that program outcomes were enhanced and the mechanism was an improved organization. Implications: Formative evaluations in a development program can trigger activity as an interim process. That activity provides for a more robust assessment of ultimate consequence of interest. Anticipating an evaluation can stimulate donor reality testing. The findings inform and strengthen future research on the influence of anticipating an evaluation. Closely examining activities before, during, and shortly after the evaluation event can aid development of other systematic methods to improve understanding this phenomenon, as well as improve donor effectiveness strategies.

中文翻译：

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评价影响：国际发展中的评价事件和资本流动。

背景：评估计划在人类发展中的有效性对于告知外国援助政策制定和组织学习至关重要。外国援助有效性的讨论越来越关注援助流量波动性的贬值效应。这项研究表明，外部评估事件会影响参与者的行为，并充当波动性约束工具。方法：以多方捐助者发展机制为例的案例研究了在考虑预期效果时检查评估事件的影响。定性部分使用文本和焦点小组数据以及个人访谈数据（组织n = 10，包括26个人）。定量数据包括所有75项资本投资的财务信息。影响力综合理论和替代机制模型使用这些组件来确定评估事件与资本流动波动之间的联系。结果：中期评估当年批准的援助是通过资本波动较小的机制来支付的。预期评估事件会影响行为，从而产生经验记录，表明计划结果得到了增强，并且该机制是一个改进的组织。含义：开发程序中的形成性评估可以触发活动，这是一个临时过程。该活动可对利益的最终结果进行更可靠的评估。预期评估会刺激捐助者的真实性测试。这些发现为预期评估的影响提供了信息并加强了未来的研究。仔细检查之前的活动