We describe a large-scale simulation of the aftermath of a hypothetical 10kT improvised nuclear detonation at ground level, near the White House in Washington DC. We take a synthetic information approach, where multiple data sets are combined to construct a synthesized representation of the population of the region with accurate demographics, as well as four infrastructures: transportation, healthcare, communication, and power. In this article, we focus on the model of agents and their behavior, which is represented using the options framework. Six different behavioral options are modeled: household reconstitution, evacuation, healthcare-seeking, worry, shelter-seeking, and aiding & assisting others. Agent decision-making takes into account their health status, information about family members, information about the event, and their local environment. We combine these behavioral options into five different behavior models of increasing complexity and do a number of simulations to compare the models.

中文翻译：

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简易核爆炸后果模拟中多种行为模型的比较。

我们在华盛顿特区白宫附近描述了一个假设的10kT简易核爆炸在地面的后果的大规模模拟。我们采用综合信息方法，其中将多个数据集组合起来，以准确的人口统计数据以及四个基础设施（交通，医疗保健，通讯和电力）构建区域人口的综合表示。在本文中，我们重点介绍使用选项框架表示的代理及其行为模型。建模了六种不同的行为选择：家庭重建，疏散，寻求医疗保健，忧虑，寻求庇护以及帮助他人。代理人的决策考虑到他们的健康状况，有关家庭成员的信息，有关事件的信息，及其当地环境。我们将这些行为选项组合为五个复杂性不断增加的不同行为模型，并进行了许多模拟比较这些模型。