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Prognostic Model for Resected Squamous-Cell Lung Cancer: External Multicenter Validation and Propensity Score Analysis exploring the Impact of Adjuvant and Neoadjuvant Treatment
Journal of Thoracic Oncology ( IF 21.0 ) Pub Date : 2018-04-01 , DOI: 10.1016/j.jtho.2017.12.003
Sara Pilotto , Isabella Sperduti , Giovanni Leuzzi , Marco Chiappetta , Felice Mucilli , Giovanni Battista Ratto , Filippo Lococo , Pier Lugigi Filosso , Lorenzo Spaggiari , Silvia Novello , Michele Milella , Antonio Santo , Aldo Scarpa , Maurizio Infante , Giampaolo Tortora , Francesco Facciolo , Emilio Bria

Introduction: We developed one of the first clinicopathological prognostic nomograms for resected squamous cell lung cancer (SQLC). Herein, we validate the model in a larger multicenter cohort and we explore the impact of adjuvant and neoadjuvant treatment (ANT). Methods: Patients with resected SQLC from January 2002 to December 2012 in six institutions were eligible. Each patient was assigned a prognostic score based on the clinicopathological factors included in the model (age, T descriptor according to seventh edition of the TNM classification, lymph node status, and grading). Kaplan‐Meier analysis for disease‐free survival, cancer‐specific survival (CSS), and overall survival was performed according to a three‐class risk model. Harrell's C‐statistics were adopted for model validation. The effect of ANT was adjusted with propensity score. Results: Data on 1375 patients were gathered (median age, 68 years; male sex, 86.8%; T descriptor 1 or 2 versus 3 or 4, 71.7% versus 24.9%; nodes negative versus positive, 53.4% versus 46.6%; and grading of 1 or 2 versus 3, 35.0% versus 41.1%). Data for survival analysis were available for 1097 patients. With a median follow‐up of 55 months, patients at low risk had a significantly longer disease‐free survival than did patients at intermediate risk (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.67, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.40–2.01) and patients at high risk (HR = 2.46, 95% CI: 1.90–3.19); they also had a significantly longer CSS (HR = 2.46, 95% CI: 1.80–3.36 versus HR = 4.30, 95% CI: 2.92–6.33) and overall survival (HR = 1.79, 95% CI: 1.48–2.17 versus HR = 2.33, 95% CI: 1.76–3.07). A trend in favor of ANT was observed for intermediate‐risk/high‐risk patients, particularly for CSS (p = 0.06 [5‐year CSS 72.7% versus 60.8%]). Conclusions: A model based on a combination of easily available clinicopathological factors effectively stratifies patients with resected SQLC into three risk classes.

中文翻译:

切除鳞状细胞肺癌的预后模型:外部多中心验证和倾向评分分析探索辅助和新辅助治疗的影响

简介:我们开发了第一个用于切除鳞状细胞肺癌 (SQLC) 的临床病理学预后列线图。在此,我们在更大的多中心队列中验证了该模型,并探讨了辅助和新辅助治疗 (ANT) 的影响。方法:纳入6家机构2002年1月至2012年12月切除的SQLC患者。根据模型中包含的临床病理因素(年龄、根据第七版 TNM 分类的 T 描述符、淋巴结状态和分级)为每位患者分配一个预后评分。根据三类风险模型对无病生存率、癌症特异性生存率 (CSS) 和总生存率进行 Kaplan-Meier 分析。模型验证采用 Harrell 的 C 统计量。ANT的影响通过倾向评分进行调整。结果:收集了 1375 名患者的数据(中位年龄,68 岁;男性,86.8%;T 描述符 1 或 2 与 3 或 4,71.7% 与 24.9%;淋巴结阴性与阳性,53.4% 与 46.6%;以及分级1 或 2 对 3,35.0% 对 41.1%)。可获得 1097 名患者的生存分析数据。中位随访 55 个月,低风险患者的无病生存期明显长于中等风险患者(风险比 [HR] = 1.67,95% 置信区间 [CI]:1.40–2.01)和高危患者(HR = 2.46,95% CI:1.90–3.19);他们的 CSS(HR = 2.46, 95% CI: 1.80–3.36 vs HR = 4.30, 95% CI: 2.92–6.33)和总生存期(HR = 1.79, 95% CI: 1.48–2.17 vs HR = 2.33,95% 置信区间:1.76–3.07)。在中危/高危患者中观察到有利于 ANT 的趋势,特别是对于 CSS(p = 0.06 [5 年 CSS 72.7% vs 60.8%])。结论:基于易于获得的临床病理因素组合的模型有效地将切除的 SQLC 患者分为三个风险等级。
更新日期:2018-04-01
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