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Managing technical risks in PV investments: How to quantify the impact of risk mitigation measures for different PV project phases?
Progress in Photovoltaics ( IF 8.0 ) Pub Date : 2017-12-12 , DOI: 10.1002/pip.2970 Ulrike Jahn 1 , Magnus Herz 1 , David Moser 2 , Giorgio Belluardo 2 , Mauricio Richter 3
Progress in Photovoltaics ( IF 8.0 ) Pub Date : 2017-12-12 , DOI: 10.1002/pip.2970 Ulrike Jahn 1 , Magnus Herz 1 , David Moser 2 , Giorgio Belluardo 2 , Mauricio Richter 3
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Project investment has been and still is a primary financial factor in enabling sustainable growth in photovoltaic (PV) installations. When assessing the investment worthiness of a PV project, different financial stakeholders such as investors, lenders, and insurers will evaluate the impact and probability of investment risks differently depending on their investment goals. Similarly, risk mitigation measures implemented are subject to the investment perspective. For the calculation of the economic impact of technical risks during PV plant operation, a method was developed to assign a cost priority number (CPN) to each failure given in €/kWp or €/kWp per year. This CPN method was introduced in the Solar Bankability Project and can be described as a cost‐based failure mode effect analysis. The methodology has been further developed for the evaluation and effectiveness of the identified mitigation measures. Risk mitigation factors are introduced, which quantify the reduction of the economic impact of technical risks, achieved via the reduction of failure occurrence or reduction of costs for fixing the failures (ie, repair of existing component, substitution by spare component, and substitution by new component).
中文翻译：
管理光伏投资中的技术风险：如何量化风险缓解措施对光伏项目不同阶段的影响？
项目投资一直是并且仍然是实现光伏（PV）装置可持续增长的主要财务因素。在评估光伏项目的投资价值时，不同的财务利益相关者（如投资者，贷方和保险公司）将根据其投资目标对投资风险的影响和可能性进行不同的评估。同样，采取的风险缓解措施也应遵循投资的观点。为了计算光伏电站运行期间技术风险的经济影响，开发了一种方法，可以为每个故障分配成本优先级编号（CPN），以每年€/ kWp或€/ kWp给出。这种CPN方法是在Solar Bankability Project中引入的，可以描述为基于成本的失效模式影响分析。该方法已进一步开发，用于评估已确定的缓解措施并提高其有效性。引入了风险缓解因子，量化了通过减少故障发生或减少故障修复成本（例如，维修现有组件，替换备用组件以及替换新组件）而实现的技术风险的经济影响的减少。零件）。
更新日期：2017-12-12
中文翻译：
管理光伏投资中的技术风险：如何量化风险缓解措施对光伏项目不同阶段的影响？
项目投资一直是并且仍然是实现光伏（PV）装置可持续增长的主要财务因素。在评估光伏项目的投资价值时，不同的财务利益相关者（如投资者，贷方和保险公司）将根据其投资目标对投资风险的影响和可能性进行不同的评估。同样，采取的风险缓解措施也应遵循投资的观点。为了计算光伏电站运行期间技术风险的经济影响，开发了一种方法，可以为每个故障分配成本优先级编号（CPN），以每年€/ kWp或€/ kWp给出。这种CPN方法是在Solar Bankability Project中引入的，可以描述为基于成本的失效模式影响分析。该方法已进一步开发，用于评估已确定的缓解措施并提高其有效性。引入了风险缓解因子，量化了通过减少故障发生或减少故障修复成本（例如，维修现有组件，替换备用组件以及替换新组件）而实现的技术风险的经济影响的减少。零件）。
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