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Natural Variability and Anthropogenic Trends in the Ocean Carbon Sink
Annual Review of Marine Science ( IF 14.3 ) Pub Date : 2017-01-03 00:00:00 , DOI: 10.1146/annurev-marine-010816-060529
Galen A. McKinley 1 , Amanda R. Fay 1 , Nicole S. Lovenduski 2 , Darren J. Pilcher 3
Affiliation  

Since preindustrial times, the ocean has removed from the atmosphere 41% of the carbon emitted by human industrial activities. Despite significant uncertainties, the balance of evidence indicates that the globally integrated rate of ocean carbon uptake is increasing in response to increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation in the equatorial Pacific dominates interannual variability of the globally integrated sink. Modes of climate variability in high latitudes are correlated with variability in regional carbon sinks, but mechanistic understanding is incomplete. Regional sink variability, combined with sparse sampling, means that the growing oceanic sink cannot yet be directly detected from available surface data. Accurate and precise shipboard observations need to be continued and increasingly complemented with autonomous observations. These data, together with a variety of mechanistic and diagnostic models, are needed for better understanding, long-term monitoring, and future projections of this critical climate regulation service.

中文翻译:


海洋碳汇的自然变异性和人为趋势

自工业化时代以来,海洋已经从大气中清除了人类工业活动所排放的41%的碳。尽管存在很大的不确定性,但证据的平衡表明,随着大气中CO 2的增加,全球海洋碳吸收的综合速率正在增加。浓度。赤道太平洋的厄尔尼诺-南方涛动主导着全球综合性海槽的年际变化。高纬度地区气候变化的模式与区域碳汇的变化相关,但是对机理的理解还不完善。区域性汇变化与稀疏采样相结合,意味着尚无法从可用地表数据中直接检测出不断增长的海洋汇。准确而精确的船上观测需要继续进行,并需要不断增加的自主观测来补充。需要这些数据以及各种机械模型和诊断模型,以更好地了解,长期监控以及对该关键气候调节服务的未来预测。

更新日期:2017-01-03
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