How do heterogeneous patterns of violence affect people's decision to flee? We provide individual-level evidence on flight decision-making in light of violence with a conjoint experiment in Turkey. The results suggest that intense indiscriminate violence nearby forces individuals into the decision to leave. In contrast to previous studies, we find that the fear of repeated violence plays a more important role in flight decision-making than the attack frequency. The survey experiment reveals that violence committed by the government makes a decision to flee abroad more likely than rebel violence. We find that individuals with support networks abroad are less responsive to patterns of violence, making flight decisions more independently and being generally more inclined to move. Our findings contribute to the growing literature on forced migration with individual-level evidence on the decision-making process underlying flight reactions to violence.

中文翻译：

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什么时候走？土耳其东部和东南部关于社交网络、暴力和强迫迁移决策的联合实验

不同类型的暴力如何影响人们逃离的决定？我们通过在土耳其进行的一项联合实验，提供了关于暴力情况下飞行决策的个人层面证据。结果表明，附近激烈的不分青红皂白的暴力行为迫使个人做出离开的决定。与之前的研究相比，我们发现对反复暴力的恐惧在飞行决策中比攻击频率起着更重要的作用。调查实验表明，与叛乱暴力相比，政府实施的暴力更有可能做出逃往国外的决定。我们发现，在国外有支持网络的人对暴力模式的反应较弱，他们更独立地做出飞行决定，而且通常更倾向于搬家。