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Accuracy, bias, self-fulfilling prophecies, and scientific self-correction
Behavioral and Brain Sciences ( IF 29.3 ) Pub Date : 2017-03-22 , DOI: 10.1017/s0140525x16000339
Lee Jussim

In my Précis of Social Perception and Social Reality (Jussim 2012, henceforth abbreviated as SPSR), I argued that the social science scholarship on social perception and interpersonal expectancies was characterized by a tripartite pattern: (1) Errors, biases, and self-fulfilling prophecies in person perception were generally weak, fragile, and fleeting; (2) Social perceptions were often quite accurate; and (3) Conclusions appearing throughout the social psychology scientific literature routinely overstated the power and pervasiveness of expectancy effects, and ignored evidence of accuracy. Most commentators concurred with the validity of these conclusions. Two, however, strongly disagreed with the conclusion that the evidence consistently has shown that stereotypes are moderately to highly accurate. Several others, while agreeing with most of the specifics, also suggested that those arguments did not necessarily apply to contexts outside of those covered in SPSR. In this response, I consider all these aspects: the limitations to the tripartite pattern, the role of politics and confirmation biases in distorting scientific conclusions, common obstructions to effective scientific self-correction, and how to limit them.

中文翻译:

准确性、偏见、自我实现的预言和科学的自我纠正

在我的简介中社会认知与社会现实(Jussim 2012,以下简称SPSR),我认为关于社会感知和人际期望的社会科学学术研究的特点是三方格局:(1) 人的感知中的错误、偏见和自我实现的预言通常是微弱的、脆弱的和转瞬即逝的;(2) 社会认知往往相当准确;(3) 社会心理学科学文献中出现的结论经常夸大预期效应的力量和普遍性,而忽略了准确性的证据。大多数评论家同意这些结论的有效性。然而,两个人强烈不同意证据一致表明刻板印象是中度到高度准确的结论。其他几个人虽然同意大部分细节,但也表示这些论点不一定适用于SPSR。在这篇回应中,我考虑了所有这些方面:三方模式的局限性,政治和确认偏见在扭曲科学结论中的作用,有效科学自我纠正的常见障碍,以及如何限制它们。
更新日期:2017-03-22
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