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How needs-based assessments could advance equity in the global stocktake and beyond Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-28 Sonja Klinsky
The global stocktake (GST) could both enable and hamper the inclusion of equity. This Comment outlines why equity is central to the GST and the challenges faced in addressing it, as well as the utility of needs-based assessments for advancing equity within the GST and the climate action generally.
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Priority science can accelerate agroforestry as a natural climate solution Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-28 Drew E. Terasaki Hart, Samantha Yeo, Maya Almaraz, Damien Beillouin, Rémi Cardinael, Edenise Garcia, Sonja Kay, Sarah Taylor Lovell, Todd S. Rosenstock, Starry Sprenkle-Hyppolite, Fred Stolle, Marta Suber, Bhuwan Thapa, Stephen Wood, Susan C. Cook-Patton
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Reproducibility crisis and gravitation towards a consensus in ocean acidification research Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-25 Sean D. Connell, Jonathan Y. S. Leung
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Soil heat extremes can outpace air temperature extremes Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-21 Almudena García-García, Francisco José Cuesta-Valero, Diego G. Miralles, Miguel D. Mahecha, Johannes Quaas, Markus Reichstein, Jakob Zscheischler, Jian Peng
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Observations of grounding zones are the missing key to understand ice melt in Antarctica Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-21 Eric Rignot
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Vulnerability-based allocations in loss and damage finance Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-21 Stacy-ann Robinson, J. Timmons Roberts, Romain Weikmans, Danielle Falzon
The recent creation of a loss and damage fund under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change was heralded as a major breakthrough for Global South negotiators. As details of the fund are currently being negotiated, some analysts are calling for ‘objective’ means through which funding would be allocated to ‘particularly vulnerable’ developing countries. On the basis of a review of past
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Plant-by-plant decarbonization strategies for the global steel industry Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-20 Ruochong Xu, Dan Tong, Steven J. Davis, Xinying Qin, Jing Cheng, Qinren Shi, Yang Liu, Cuihong Chen, Liu Yan, Xizhe Yan, Huaxuan Wang, Dongsheng Zheng, Kebin He, Qiang Zhang
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Global stocktake and the SDG midterm review as opportunities for integration Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-14 Lukas Hermwille, Adis Dzebo, Gabriela Ileana Iacobuţă, Wolfgang Obergassel
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Intense and prolonged subsurface marine heatwaves pose risk to biodiversity Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-18
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A net-zero target compels a backward induction approach to climate policy Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-18 Geoffroy Dolphin, Michael Pahle, Dallas Burtraw, Mirjam Kosch
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Animal-borne sensors as a biologically informed lens on a changing climate Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-18 Diego Ellis-Soto, Martin Wikelski, Walter Jetz
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Understanding the recent increase in multiyear La Niñas Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-18 Bin Wang, Weiyi Sun, Chunhan Jin, Xiao Luo, Young-Min Yang, Tim Li, Baoqiang Xiang, Michael J. McPhaden, Mark A. Cane, Feifei Jin, Fei Liu, Jian Liu
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Marine biodiversity exposed to prolonged and intense subsurface heatwaves Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-18 Eliza Fragkopoulou, Alex Sen Gupta, Mark John Costello, Thomas Wernberg, Miguel B. Araújo, Ester A. Serrão, Olivier De Clerck, Jorge Assis
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Upward revision of the social costs of methane and nitrous oxide Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-14
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Damage function uncertainty increases the social cost of methane and nitrous oxide Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-14 Tianpeng Wang, Fei Teng
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Deoxygenation of temperate rivers Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-14 Joanna R. Blaszczak
Oxygen concentrations are a key aspect of water quality, with low levels linked to ecosystem stress. Research indicates that oxygen levels will decrease in hundreds of rivers across the USA and Central Europe under climate change.
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Mobilizing non-state actors for climate action through the global stocktake Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-14 Jonathan William Kuyper, Vegard Tørstad
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Accelerating finance for addressing loss and damage through the global stocktake Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-14 C. Watson, L. Gonzalez
The global stocktake seeks to enhance climate ambition through assessment and review of collective efforts every five years. A recent breakthrough in finance for addressing loss and damage is an opportunity to strengthen the finance agenda and rebuild much needed trust in the multilateral system.
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Widespread deoxygenation in warming rivers Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-14 Wei Zhi, Christoph Klingler, Jiangtao Liu, Li Li
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Exposure to international trade lowers green voting and worsens environmental attitudes Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-14 Charlotte Bez, Valentina Bosetti, Italo Colantone, Maurizio Zanardi
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Circular economy strategies to decarbonize China’s bulk material cycles Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-11
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Upslope migration is slower in insects that depend on metabolically demanding flight Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-11 Michael P. Moore, Jesse Shaich, James T. Stroud
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China’s bulk material loops can be closed but deep decarbonization requires demand reduction Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-11 Lulu Song, Stijn van Ewijk, Eric Masanet, Takuma Watari, Fanran Meng, Jonathan M. Cullen, Zhi Cao, Wei-Qiang Chen
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Ice core records suggest that Antarctica is warming faster than the global average Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-07
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The quandary of detecting the signature of climate change in Antarctica Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-07 Mathieu Casado, Raphaël Hébert, Davide Faranda, Amaelle Landais
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Footprint of agri-food systems Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-05 Danyang Cheng
Life-cycle assessment (LCA) is used extensively to assess the environmental impacts of various products and services, and increasingly to inform consumer decision-making. However, there are emerging discussions on whether LCA modelling exercises mislead consumers and policymakers, owing to modelling inconsistencies and a focus on single impact categories. For example, most LCA analyses on agri-food
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The cost of behavioural change Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-05 Tegan Armarego-Marriott
Broad predictions of species loss under climate change may overestimate the impacts of change, by failing to incorporate species’ ability to behaviourally or physiologically adapt at various scales. Despite recent increases in research in this field, few studies so far have investigated both how different adaptation forms may arise in the context of natural landscapes, and the costs and benefits associated
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Smoke on the rise Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-05 Jasper Franke
Sally Wang and colleagues from the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, USA, used a neural network together with CMIP6 projections of the coming decades to assess changes in wildfire emissions in the contiguous United States under high emissions. They find that compared with today’s conditions, fire PM2.5 emissions (particulates with a diameter of 2.5 μm or less) increase by 4–75% until mid-century
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Choosing a path Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-05
The impacts of climate change are becoming difficult to ignore with more frequent climate extreme events across the globe. Yet, whether these events may influence individuals and society to engage in climate discussion and action is currently unclear.
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Drought and electricity Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-05 Lingxiao Yan
Minghao Qiu of Stanford University, USA, and colleagues examined the impact of extreme droughts on the fossil fuel power plants in the western United States, an interconnected electricity system that is heavily hydropower-dependent. Using detailed empirical data, they estimate that extreme drought could increase the electricity production of individual fossil fuel plants by 65%, often in distant regions
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A need for actionable climate projections across the Global South Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-05 Saroj K. Mishra, Pankaj Upadhyaya, John T. Fasullo, Narayan Prasad Keshri, Popat Salunke, Arunabha Ghosh, Asiya B. Sainudeen, In-Sik Kang
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Harnessing AI and computing to advance climate modelling and prediction Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-05 Tapio Schneider, Swadhin Behera, Giulio Boccaletti, Clara Deser, Kerry Emanuel, Raffaele Ferrari, L. Ruby Leung, Ning Lin, Thomas Müller, Antonio Navarra, Ousmane Ndiaye, Andrew Stuart, Joseph Tribbia, Toshio Yamagata
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Envisioning a future with climate change Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-04 Brian C. O’Neill
Climate change research and assessments, including the most recent IPCC report, paint an increasingly dire picture of the future. However, the assumption that the future will be worse than the present may be wrong for many aspects of human well-being.
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Three institutional pathways to envision the future of the IPCC Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-04 Shinichiro Asayama, Kari De Pryck, Silke Beck, Béatrice Cointe, Paul N. Edwards, Hélène Guillemot, Karin M. Gustafsson, Friederike Hartz, Hannah Hughes, Bård Lahn, Olivier Leclerc, Rolf Lidskog, Jasmine E. Livingston, Irene Lorenzoni, Joanna Petrasek MacDonald, Martin Mahony, Jean Carlos Hochsprung Miguel, Marko Monteiro, Jessica O’Reilly, Warren Pearce, Arthur Petersen, Bernd Siebenhüner, Tora Skodvin
The IPCC has been successful at building its scientific authority, but it will require institutional reform for staying relevant to new and changing political contexts. Exploring a range of alternative future pathways for the IPCC can help guide crucial decisions about redefining its purpose.
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Impact of the 2015–2016 El Niño on the carbon dynamics of South American tropical forests Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-04
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Reflecting on AR6 Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-04 Bronwyn Wake
The release of the IPCC Synthesis Report concludes the sixth assessment cycle (AR6). Nature Climate Change speaks to outgoing IPCC Chair Hoesung Lee about the reports, and the lessons that may inform the seventh assessment cycle.
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Sensitivity of South American tropical forests to an extreme climate anomaly Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-09-04 Amy C. Bennett, Thaiane Rodrigues de Sousa, Abel Monteagudo-Mendoza, Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert, Paulo S. Morandi, Fernanda Coelho de Souza, Wendeson Castro, Luisa Fernanda Duque, Gerardo Flores Llampazo, Rubens Manoel dos Santos, Eliana Ramos, Emilio Vilanova Torre, Esteban Alvarez-Davila, Timothy R. Baker, Flávia R. C. Costa, Simon L. Lewis, Beatriz S. Marimon, Juliana Schietti, Benoît Burban, Erika
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Carbon availability and soil moisture drive the Arctic soil methane sink Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-31
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How scientists are grappling with the uncertain future of Antarctica’s melting ice Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-31 Alexandria Herr
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Arctic soil methane sink increases with drier conditions and higher ecosystem respiration Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-31 Carolina Voigt, Anna-Maria Virkkala, Gabriel Hould Gosselin, Kathryn A. Bennett, T. Andrew Black, Matteo Detto, Charles Chevrier-Dion, Georg Guggenberger, Wasi Hashmi, Lukas Kohl, Dan Kou, Charlotte Marquis, Philip Marsh, Maija E. Marushchak, Zoran Nesic, Hannu Nykänen, Taija Saarela, Leopold Sauheitl, Branden Walker, Niels Weiss, Evan J. Wilcox, Oliver Sonnentag
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Skiing feedbacks warm the climate Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-28 Paul Peeters
Declining snow cover poses a substantial risk for many ski resorts that often counter this trend with snowmaking, leading to increasing emissions caused by ski tourism. Research now quantifies the risks of rising temperatures to the skiing industry at the pan-European level, together with the potential and emissions of snowmaking.
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Zooplankton dilemma in the twilight Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-28 Letizia Tedesco
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Widespread changes in Southern Ocean phytoplankton blooms linked to climate drivers Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-28 Sandy J. Thomalla, Sarah-Anne Nicholson, Thomas J. Ryan-Keogh, Marié E. Smith
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Climate change exacerbates snow-water-energy challenges for European ski tourism Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-28 Hugues François, Raphaëlle Samacoïts, David Neil Bird, Judith Köberl, Franz Prettenthaler, Samuel Morin
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Sea-ice decline could keep zooplankton deeper for longer Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-28 Hauke Flores, Gaëlle Veyssière, Giulia Castellani, Jeremy Wilkinson, Mario Hoppmann, Michael Karcher, Lovro Valcic, Astrid Cornils, Maxime Geoffroy, Marcel Nicolaus, Barbara Niehoff, Pierre Priou, Katrin Schmidt, Julienne Stroeve
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Navigating the continuum between adaptation and maladaptation Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-21 Diana Reckien, Alexandre K. Magnan, Chandni Singh, Megan Lukas-Sithole, Ben Orlove, E. Lisa F. Schipper, Erin Coughlan de Perez
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Seeing carbon dioxide emissions through the trees Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-17 Cathy Trudinger
Atmospheric observations can quantify anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions, but variability in net land carbon exchange delays the detection of changes. Now, research improves understanding of this variability and allows earlier detection of emissions changes.
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A nonlinear cloud response delays the warming effect of aerosol reductions Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-17
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Nonlinearity of the cloud response postpones climate penalty of mitigating air pollution in polluted regions Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-17 Hailing Jia, Johannes Quaas
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Surprising stability of recent global carbon cycling enables improved fossil fuel emission verification Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-17 Benjamin Birner, Christian Rödenbeck, Julia L. Dohner, Armin Schwartzman, Ralph F. Keeling
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Can solar radiation modification prevent a future collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet? Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-14
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Low-carbon warfare Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-14 Duncan Depledge, Tamiris Santos, Neil Morisetti, Richard Nugee
Climate change has been identified as a driver of instability and conflict around the world. However, how climate change and the transition to a net-zero world might alter the character of military operations is often overlooked.
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Detecting climate signals cascading through levels of biological organization Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-14 Marlène Gamelon, Stéphanie Jenouvrier, Melanie Lindner, Bernt-Erik Sæther, Marcel E. Visser
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Evaluating fossil fuel companies’ alignment with 1.5 °C climate pathways Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-14 Saphira Rekker, Guangwu Chen, Richard Heede, Matthew C. Ives, Belinda Wade, Chris Greig
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Alpine burrow-sharing mammals and birds show similar population-level climate change risks Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-10 Yilin Chen, Deyan Ge, Per G. P. Ericson, Gang Song, Zhixin Wen, Xu Luo, Qisen Yang, Fumin Lei, Yanhua Qu
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Climate intervention on a high-emissions pathway could delay but not prevent West Antarctic Ice Sheet demise Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-10 J. Sutter, A. Jones, T. L. Frölicher, C. Wirths, T. F. Stocker
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Source–sink switch Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-04 Tegan Armarego-Marriott
Microbial organisms play key roles in the cycling of nutrients and carbon through ecosystems. Mixotrophic microbes, defined as organisms that can use two or more modes of resource acquisition, are widely found and integral parts of microbial ecosystems. Many mixotrophs may shift their mode of resource acquisition — for example, between carbon-fixing autotrophy and consumption-based heterotrophy — in
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Shifting deserts Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-04 Jasper Franke
In their study, Chuyin Tian and colleagues from the University of Regina in Canada and Beijing Normal University in China used climate models in combination with Bayesian discriminant analysis to assess how the Sahara changes under different scenarios together with the associated uncertainties. They find that the Sahara expands in the Maghreb region and over Senegal and Mauritania under both medium-
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Economics of adaptation Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-04 Bronwyn Wake
Agricultural production is threatened by climate change and requires adaptation, possibly through the adoption of technology, and innovation, to improve resilience. Understanding the economic value of these decisions is important for uptake and reducing risk to farmer welfare.
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Supporting adaptation Nat. Clim. Change (IF 30.7) Pub Date : 2023-08-04
With climate change impacts increasingly being felt by more of the world’s population, adaptation efforts are urgently needed. However, similar to the unequal distribution of climate change impacts, the ability of societies to adapt is also heterogeneous.