Recently, interest in the design and construction of smart ships has been widely increasing. Optimal route planning is a widely studied essential aspect of smart ship technology. Planning an optimal route requires an accurate estimation of the fuel oil consumption of a ship. Various studies have suggested methods for theoretically estimating the fuel oil consumption. However, the calculation methodology and accuracy are different for each method. In addition, in commercial software, a statistical model based mainly on operating data has been used. Therefore, in this study, we propose a method based on ISO 15016:2015 for estimating the fuel oil consumption of a ship by improving the ISO 15016:2002 method—which has been predominantly used in existing studies. Moreover, the accuracy of the proposed method is examined by comparing it with a gray box model based on operating data. The results confirm that the proposed method can be used for estimating the fuel oil consumption of a ship.

中文翻译：

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基于ISO 15016：2015的船舶燃油消耗量估算方法

近来，对智能船的设计和建造的兴趣已经广泛增加。最佳路线规划是智能船技术中被广泛研究的基本方面。规划最佳路线需要准确估算船舶的燃油消耗。各种研究提出了理论上估计燃油消耗量的方法。但是，每种方法的计算方法和准确性都不同。另外，在商业软件中，已经使用了主要基于操作数据的统计模型。因此，在本研究中，我们提出了一种基于ISO 15016：2015的方法，该方法通过改进ISO 15016：2002方法来估算船舶的燃油消耗量，该方法主要用于现有研究中。此外，通过与基于操作数据的灰箱模型进行比较，检验了该方法的准确性。结果证实了所提出的方法可用于估计船舶的燃油消耗。