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On ranking climate factors affecting the living organisms based on paired comparison model, a Bayesian approach

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Abstract

The method of paired comparisons (PC) endeavors to rank treatments presented in pairs to panelists (or respondents, judges, jurists, etc.) and they have to select the better one based on sensory evaluations. Sometimes the situations may occur when the panelists cannot discriminate between the treatments and declare a tie. In this study, an effort is made to extend the Weibull PC model to accommodate ties. The extended Weibull PC model is analyzed using Bayesian paradigm. Four different loss functions are used under noninformative (Uniform and Jeffreys) priors. The posterior and marginal posterior distributions are derived. The posterior estimates, posterior risks, preference probabilities, posterior probabilities and predictive probabilities are evaluated to know the ranking of ecological factor. The goodness of the proposed model is assessed. The entire analysis is carried out using a real data set based on the preference for the ecological factors.

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Data availability

Data have been originally collected from the students of earth science department, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan. Which is also mentioned in the manuscript.

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Funding

No funding has been received from any source (institutions or organizations) for the completion of this study.

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Contributions

KU performed the data analysis and preparation of original draft. MA did supervision and methodology validation. NA worked on investigation, review and validation. SIS did the conceptual and graphical analysis. All the authors contributed in the interpretation discussion and refinement of the paper.

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Correspondence to Khalil Ullah.

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The authors declare no conflicts of interest among the reviewers, organizations or institutions.

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Ullah, K., Aslam, M., Abbas, N. et al. On ranking climate factors affecting the living organisms based on paired comparison model, a Bayesian approach. Clim Dyn 60, 2759–2766 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06472-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06472-1

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