Abstract
Background It is important that pharmacokinetic (PK) prediction methods are validated, and also for compounds with varying physicochemical properties, molecular weights and PK characteristics.
Methods The objective was to investigate how well the ANDROMEDA by Prosilico software predicts the clinical PK of four compounds of natural origin and with PK obstacles, not yet fully characterized PK, and/or inaccurate lab method-based predictions - colistin (negligible absorption, good metabolic stability, significant excretion), curucumin (low solubility, apparently poor bioavailability), UCN-01 (extremely high degree of plasma protein binding, metabolic stability, long half-life and poor PK prediction) and voclosporin (poorly understood PK).
Results All categorial predictions except one were correct, and the median prediction error was 2.5-fold. Largest prediction errors were found for the unbound fraction in plasma (>24-fold), clearance (178-fold) and half-life (90-fold) of UCN-01. Corresponding errors for clearance and half-life obtained with allometry were greater, 5800- and 145-fold, respectively. Extremely high affinity for alpha1-acid glycoprotein could explain these large prediction errors for this compound. A substantial amount of data and knowledge was added with the predictions.
Conclusion Despite challenging compounds and PK, predictions were comparably good. The results further validated ANDROMEDA by Prosilico for human clinical PK-predictions.
Competing Interest Statement
Urban Fagerholm, Sven Hellberg and Ola Spjuth declare shares in Prosilico AB, a Swedish company that develops solutions for human clinical ADME/PK predictions. Ola Spjuth declares shares in Aros Bio AB, a company developing the CPSign software.