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Early predictive factors for progression to kidney failure in infants with severe congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract

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Abstract

Background

Severe congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract (CAKUT) progress to infantile kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT). Although prompt and precise prediction of kidney outcomes is important, early predictive factors for its progression remain incompletely defined.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included patients with CAKUT treated at 12 centers between 2009 and 2020. Patients with a maximum serum creatinine level ≤ 1.0 mg/dL during the first 3 days, patients who died of respiratory failure during the neonatal period, patients who progressed to KFRT within the first 3 days, and patients lacking sufficient data were excluded.

Results

Of 2187 patients with CAKUT, 92 were finally analyzed. Twenty-five patients (27%) progressed to KFRT and 24 (26%) had stage 3–5 chronic kidney disease without replacement therapy during the median observation period of 52.0 (interquartile range, 22.0–87.8) months. Among these, 22 (24%) progressed to infantile KFRT. The kidney survival rate during the infantile period was significantly lower in patients with a maximum serum creatinine level during the first 3 days (Cr-day3-max) ≥ 2.5 mg/dL (21.8%) compared with those with a Cr-day3-max < 2.5 mg/dL (95.2%) (log-rank, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated Cr-day3-max (P < 0.001) and oligohydramnios (P = 0.025) were associated with higher risk of infantile KFRT. Eighty-two patients (89%) were alive at the last follow-up.

Conclusions

Neonatal kidney function, including Cr-day3-max, was associated with kidney outcomes in patients with severe CAKUT. Aggressive therapy for severe CAKUT may have good long-term life outcomes through infantile dialysis and kidney transplantation.

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank Dr. Naoya Morisada for conducting the genetic diagnosis; Drs. Hitoshi Yoda, Norio Mizukaki, and Mai Kubota for providing clinical data; and Dr. Shuichi Ito for their overall contributions to the study. The authors also thank the medical editors from the Division of Education for Clinical Research at the National Center for Child Health and Development for editing a draft of this manuscript. We also thank Susan Furness, PhD, and J. Ludovic Croxford, PhD, from Edanz (https://jp.edanz.com/ac) for editing a draft of this manuscript.

Funding

This work was funded by childhood-onset, rare, and intractable kidney diseases in Japan, research on rare and intractable diseases, Health, Labour and Welfare Sciences Research Grants (20FC1028).

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Authors

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Contributions

KN prepared the first draft of the manuscript, oversaw the data collection, and performed the data analysis as the primary investigator. RHar, MY, YO, KM, YG, TKi, DH, YH, NF, TU, TN, TI, and RHam performed the research, and edited and reviewed the manuscript. TKa designed the study, analyzed the data, and revised the manuscript for important intellectual content. KK conducted the statistical analysis. OU supervised and designed the study and critically revised the manuscript. KI designed the study, critically revised the manuscript for important intellectual content, and oversaw the work as the corresponding author. All authors contributed to the study conception and design and approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Kenji Ishikura.

Ethics declarations

Ethics approval

The study protocol was approved by the institutional ethics committee of the National Center for Child Health and Development (approval no. 2020–169). Study approval with agreement for data was shared among each institution’s ethics committee.

Informed consent

Informed consent for participating in this study was not required in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and the Ethical Guidelines for Medical and Health Research Involving Human Subjects of the Ministry of Health, Labour, and Welfare. Consent for publication was waived in accordance with the guidelines.

Competing interests

Kenji Ishikura has received research funding from the Asahi Kasei Pharma Corporation, Novartis International AG, Japan Blood Products Organization, Teijin Pharma Limited, JCR Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd., Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Zenyaku Kogyo Co., Ltd., Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Shionogi Co., Ltd., and The Morinaga Foundation for Health & Nutrition; and lecture fees from Asahi Kasei Pharma Corporation, Novartis International AG, Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Zenyaku Kogyo Co., Ltd., Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Teijin Pharma Limited, Astellas Pharma Inc., Sanofi S.A., Pfizer Inc., AstraZeneca plc, and Miyarisan Pharmaceutical Co. Yusuke Okuda has received research funding from JSPS Kakenhi. Yuko Hamasaki has received lecture fees from Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd and Pfizer Inc. Koichi Kamei has received research funding from the Terumo Foundation for Life Sciences and Arts, Public Foundation of Vaccination Research Center, and Taiju Life Social Welfare Foundation; donations from Chugai Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd., Astellas Pharma Inc., Ono Pharmaceutical Co., Teijin Pharma Ltd., Shionogi Co. Ltd., and Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd.; and lecture fees from Tanabe Mitsubishi Pharma, Baxter Ltd., and Zenyaku Kogyo Co. Ltd. Other authors have no potential conflicts of interests to disclose.

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Graphical Abstract (PPTX 1343 KB)

467_2022_5703_MOESM2_ESM.jpg

Supplementary file2 (JPG 2771 KB) Supplemental Figure Comparison of Cr values between the infantile KFRT group and non-KF/older KFRT group. Comparison of (A) Cr-day1-max, (B) Cr-day2-max, (C) Cr-day3-max, (D) Cr-day4-max, (E) Cr-day5-max, (F) Cr-day6-max, (G) Cr-day7-max, and (H) Peak SCr between groups. Peak SCr was defined as maximum value of SCr during neonatal period before initiation of dialysis. Cr-day1-max, maximum serum creatinine level during the first 1 day; Cr-day2-max, maximum serum creatinine level during the first 2 days; Cr-day3-max, maximum serum creatinine level during the first 3 days; Cr-day4-max, maximum serum creatinine level during the first 4 days; Cr-day5-max, maximum serum creatinine level during the first 5 days; Cr-day6-max, maximum serum creatinine level during the first 6 days; Cr-day7-max, maximum serum creatinine level during the first 7 days; I-KFRT, infantile kidney failure with replacement therapy; KFRT, kidney failure with replacement therapy; non-KF, non-kidney failure

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Nishi, K., Uemura, O., Harada, R. et al. Early predictive factors for progression to kidney failure in infants with severe congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract. Pediatr Nephrol 38, 1057–1066 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00467-022-05703-1

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