J Knee Surg 2023; 36(13): 1323-1340
DOI: 10.1055/a-1911-3892
Original Article

30-Days to 10-Years Mortality Rates following Total Knee Arthroplasty: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Last Decade (2011–2021)

Xuankang Pan
1   Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
,
Oguz Turan
1   Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
,
1   Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
,
Hannah Simmons
1   Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
,
1   Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
,
1   Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio
› Author Affiliations
Funding None.

Abstract

Mortality data following primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) beyond 1-year postoperative time period is sparse. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to: (1) estimate contemporary mortality rates at 30 days, 90 days, 1 year, 5 years, and 10 years following primary TKA; and (2) identify risk factors and causes of mortality following TKA. PubMed, MEDLINE, Cochrane, EBSCO host, and Google Scholar databases were queried from January 1, 2011 to October 30, 2021 for all studies reporting mortality rates following primary TKA. A meta-analysis of proportions was conducted using a random-effects model to ascertain pooled mortality rates (95% confidence interval [CI]). Meta-regression was utilized to account for confounding effects on mortality rates due to the study's country of origin, median date of study data, average patient age, and patient gender ratios, with a level of significance maintained at p-value <0.05. A total of 44 articles were included in quantitative synthesis. The pooled 30-day mortality rate was 0.14% (95% CI:0.05–0.22%; n = 1,817,647). The pooled 90-day mortality rate was 0.35% (95% CI:0.0.28–0.43%; n = 1,641,974). The pooled 1-year mortality rate was 1.1% (95% CI:0.71–1.49%; n = 1,178,698). The pooled 5-year mortality rate was 5.38% (95% CI:4.35–6.42%; n = 597,041). The pooled 10-year mortality rate was 10.18% (95% CI:7.78–12.64%; n = 815,901). Our 30-day mortality rate was lower than previously reported. The most common causes of death at all time points were due to cardiac disease, cerebrovascular disease, and malignancy. Obesity demonstrated mixed effects on long-term mortality rates. Overall mortality rates of TKA remain low worldwide at all time points and immediate postoperative mortality rates continue to fall. Compared to symptomatic knee osteoarthritic patients reported in the literature, TKA patients qualitatively exhibited lower mortality rates, which may support the value of TKA in improving quality of life without associated excess mortality. Future long-term mortality studies should be conducted to account for geographical variability in mortality rates and further elucidate modifiable risk factors associated with mortality among TKA patients.

Note

This study was performed at the Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio.


Supplementary Material



Publication History

Received: 04 April 2022

Accepted: 26 July 2022

Accepted Manuscript online:
28 July 2022

Article published online:
20 September 2022

© 2022. Thieme. All rights reserved.

Thieme Medical Publishers, Inc.
333 Seventh Avenue, 18th Floor, New York, NY 10001, USA

 
  • References

  • 1 Konopka JF, Lee Y-Y, Su EP, McLawhorn AS. Quality-adjusted life years after hip and knee arthroplasty: health-related quality of life after 12,782 joint replacements. JBJS Open Access 2018; 3 (03) e0007-e0007
  • 2 Liebs TR, Herzberg W, Rüther W, Russlies M, Hassenpflug J. Multicenter Arthroplasty Aftercare Project, MAAP. Quality-adjusted life years gained by hip and knee replacement surgery and its aftercare. Arch Phys Med Rehabil 2016; 97 (05) 691-700
  • 3 Orr MN, Klika AK, Emara AK, Piuzzi NS, Group CCA. Cleveland Clinic Arthroplasty Group. Combinations of preoperative patient-reported outcome measure phenotype (pain, function, and mental health) predict outcome after total knee arthroplasty. J Arthroplasty 2022; 37 (6S): S110-S120
  • 4 Sloan M, Premkumar A, Sheth NP. Projected volume of primary total joint arthroplasty in the U.S., 2014 to 2030. J Bone Joint Surg Am 2018; 100 (17) 1455-1460
  • 5 Zhai K, Orr M, Grits D, Emara AK, Rothfusz CA, Piuzzi NS. Factors affecting 30-day mortality following primary elective total knee arthroplasty: a database study of 326,157 patients. J Knee Surg 2023; 36 (06) 575-583
  • 6 Sinclair ST, Orr MN, Rothfusz CA, Klika AK, McLaughlin JP, Piuzzi NS. Understanding the 30-day mortality burden after revision total knee arthroplasty. Arthroplast Today 2021; 11: 205-211
  • 7 Siddiqi A, Warren JA, McLaughlin J. et al. Demographic, comorbidity, and episode-of-care differences in primary total knee arthroplasty. J Bone Joint Surg Am 2021; 103 (03) 227-234
  • 8 Samuel LT, Sultan AA, Zhou G. et al. In-hospital mortality after septic revision TKA: analysis of the New York and Florida State Inpatient Databases. J Knee Surg 2022; 35 (04) 416-423
  • 9 Johnson NR, Statz JM, Odum SM, Otero JE. Failure to optimize before total knee arthroplasty: which modifiable risk factor is the most dangerous?. J Arthroplasty 2021; 36 (07) 2452-2457
  • 10 Traven SA, Reeves RA, Sekar MG, Slone HS, Walton ZJ. New 5-factor modified frailty index predicts morbidity and mortality in primary hip and knee arthroplasty. J Arthroplasty 2019; 34 (01) 140-144
  • 11 Berstock JR, Beswick AD, López-López JA, Whitehouse MR, Blom AW. Mortality after total knee arthroplasty: a systematic review of incidence, temporal trends, and risk factors. J Bone Joint Surg Am 2018; 100 (12) 1064-1070
  • 12 Ouzzani M, Hammady H, Fedorowicz Z, Elmagarmid A. Rayyan-a web and mobile app for systematic reviews. Syst Rev 2016; 5 (01) 210
  • 13 Sterne JAC, Savović J, Page MJ. et al. RoB 2: a revised tool for assessing risk of bias in randomised trials. BMJ 2019; 366: l4898
  • 14 Deeks JJ, Higgins JPT, Altman DG. Analysing data and undertaking meta-analyses. In: Higgins JPT, Thomas J, Chandler J, Cumpston M, Li T, Page MJ, Welch VA. eds. Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions version 6.
  • 15 Rhee C, Lethbridge L, Richardson G, Dunbar M. Risk factors for infection, revision, death, blood transfusion and longer hospital stay 3 months and 1 year after primary total hip or knee arthroplasty. Can J Surg 2018; 61 (03) 165-176
  • 16 Lizaur-Utrilla A, Gonzalez-Parreño S, Miralles-Muñoz FA, Lopez-Prats FA. Ten-year mortality risk predictors after primary total knee arthroplasty for osteoarthritis. Knee Surg Sports Traumatol Arthrosc 2015; 23 (06) 1848-1855
  • 17 Clement ND, Jenkins PJ, Brenkel IJ, Walmsley P. Predictors of mortality after total knee replacement: a ten-year survivorship analysis. J Bone Joint Surg Br 2012; 94 (02) 200-204
  • 18 Singh JA, Lewallen DG. Ninety-day mortality in patients undergoing elective total hip or total knee arthroplasty. J Arthroplasty 2012; 27 (08) 1417-1422.e1
  • 19 Inacio MCS, Pratt NL, Roughead EE, Graves SE. Evaluation of three co-morbidity measures to predict mortality in patients undergoing total joint arthroplasty. Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2016; 24 (10) 1718-1726
  • 20 Harris AHS, Kuo AC, Bowe T, Gupta S, Nordin D, Giori NJ. Prediction models for 30-day mortality and complications after total knee and hip arthroplasties for veteran health administration patients with osteoarthritis. J Arthroplasty 2018; 33 (05) 1539-1545
  • 21 Hunt LP, Ben-Shlomo Y, Whitehouse MR, Porter ML, Blom AW. The main cause of death following primary total hip and knee replacement for osteoarthritis: a cohort study of 26,766 deaths following 332,734 hip replacements and 29,802 deaths following 384,291 knee replacements. J Bone Joint Surg Am 2017; 99 (07) 565-575
  • 22 Tohidi M, Brogly SB, Lajkosz K, Grant HJ, VanDenKerkhof EG, Campbell AR. Ten-year mortality and revision after total knee arthroplasty in morbidly obese patients. J Arthroplasty 2018; 33 (08) 2518-2523
  • 23 Dowsey MM, Choong PFM, Paxton EW, Spelman T, Namba RS, Inacio MCS. Body mass index is associated with all-cause mortality after THA and TKA. Clin Orthop Relat Res 2018; 476 (06) 1139-1148
  • 24 Katakam A, Melnic CM, Bragdon CR, Sauder N, Collins AK, Bedair HS. Low body mass index is a predictor for mortality and increased length of stay following total joint arthroplasty. J Arthroplasty 2021; 36 (01) 72-77
  • 25 Hanreich C, Martelanz L, Koller U, Windhager R, Waldstein W. Sport and physical activity following primary total knee arthroplasty: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Arthroplasty 2020; 35 (08) 2274-2285.e1
  • 26 Harding P, Holland AE, Delany C, Hinman RS. Do activity levels increase after total hip and knee arthroplasty?. Clin Orthop Relat Res 2014; 472 (05) 1502-1511
  • 27 Bozic K, Yu H, Zywiel MG. et al. Quality measure public reporting is associated with improved outcomes following hip and knee replacement. J Bone Joint Surg Am 2020; 102 (20) 1799-1806
  • 28 Memtsoudis SG, Sun X, Chiu Y-L. et al. Perioperative comparative effectiveness of anesthetic technique in orthopedic patients. Anesthesiology 2013; 118 (05) 1046-1058
  • 29 Khan SK, Malviya A, Muller SD. et al. Reduced short-term complications and mortality following enhanced recovery primary hip and knee arthroplasty: results from 6,000 consecutive procedures. Acta Orthop 2014; 85 (01) 26-31
  • 30 Ripollés-Melchor J, Abad-Motos A, Díez-Remesal Y. et al; Postoperative Outcomes Within Enhanced Recovery After Surgery Protocol in Elective Total Hip and Knee Arthroplasty (POWER2) Study Investigators Group for the Spanish Perioperative Audit and Research Network (REDGERM). Association between use of enhanced recovery after surgery protocol and postoperative complications in total hip and knee arthroplasty in the postoperative outcomes within enhanced recovery after surgery protocol in elective total hip and knee arthroplasty study (POWER2). JAMA Surg 2020; 155 (04) e196024
  • 31 Lassen MR, Raskob GE, Gallus A, Pineo G, Chen D, Portman RJ. Apixaban or enoxaparin for thromboprophylaxis after knee replacement. N Engl J Med 2009; 361 (06) 594-604
  • 32 Hunt LP, Whitehouse MR, Howard PW, Ben-Shlomo Y, Blom AW. Using long term mortality to determine which perioperative risk factors of mortality following hip and knee replacement may be causal. Sci Rep 2018; 8 (01) 15026
  • 33 Singh JA, Lewallen DG. Diabetes: a risk factor for poor functional outcome after total knee arthroplasty. PLoS One 2013; 8 (11) e78991
  • 34 Singh JA. Smoking and outcomes after knee and hip arthroplasty: a systematic review. J Rheumatol 2011; 38 (09) 1824-1834
  • 35 DeMik DE, Carender CN, Glass NA, Brown TS, Callaghan JJ, Bedard NA. Are surgeons still performing primary total knee arthroplasty in the morbidly obese?. Bone Joint J 2021; 103-B (suppl 6A): 38-44
  • 36 George J, Klika AK, Navale SM, Newman JM, Barsoum WK, Higuera CA. Obesity epidemic: is its impact on total joint arthroplasty underestimated? An analysis of national trends. Clin Orthop Relat Res 2017; 475 (07) 1798-1806
  • 37 George J, Piuzzi NS, Ng M, Sodhi N, Khlopas AA, Mont MA. Association between body mass index and thirty-day complications after total knee arthroplasty. J Arthroplasty 2018; 33 (03) 865-871
  • 38 Antonopoulos AS, Tousoulis D. The molecular mechanisms of obesity paradox. Cardiovasc Res 2017; 113 (09) 1074-1086
  • 39 Zhang JC, Matelski J, Gandhi R, Jackson T, Urbach D, Cram P. Can patient selection explain the obesity paradox in orthopaedic hip surgery? An analysis of the ACS-NSQIP registry. Clin Orthop Relat Res 2018; 476 (05) 964-973
  • 40 Lavie CJ, Milani RV, Ventura HO. Obesity and cardiovascular disease: risk factor, paradox, and impact of weight loss. J Am Coll Cardiol 2009; 53 (21) 1925-1932
  • 41 Smith EL, Shahien AA, Chung M, Stoker G, Niu R, Schwarzkopf R. The obesity paradox: body mass index complication rates vary by gender and age among primary total hip arthroplasty patients. J Arthroplasty 2020; 35 (09) 2658-2665
  • 42 Nüesch E, Dieppe P, Reichenbach S, Williams S, Iff S, Jüni P. All cause and disease specific mortality in patients with knee or hip osteoarthritis: population based cohort study. BMJ 2011; 342: d1165
  • 43 Liu Q, Niu J, Huang J. et al. Knee osteoarthritis and all-cause mortality: the Wuchuan Osteoarthritis Study. Osteoarthritis Cartilage 2015; 23 (07) 1154-1157
  • 44 Barbour KE, Lui L-Y, Nevitt MC. et al; Study of Osteoporotic Fractures Research Group. Hip osteoarthritis and the risk of all-cause and disease-specific mortality in older women: a population-based cohort study. Arthritis Rheumatol 2015; 67 (07) 1798-1805
  • 45 Hawker GA, Croxford R, Bierman AS. et al. All-cause mortality and serious cardiovascular events in people with hip and knee osteoarthritis: a population based cohort study. PLoS One 2014; 9 (03) e91286
  • 46 Kluzek S, Sanchez-Santos MT, Leyland KM. et al. Painful knee but not hand osteoarthritis is an independent predictor of mortality over 23 years follow-up of a population-based cohort of middle-aged women. Ann Rheum Dis 2016; 75 (10) 1749-1756
  • 47 Tsuboi M, Hasegawa Y, Matsuyama Y, Suzuki S, Suzuki K, Imagama S. Do musculoskeletal degenerative diseases affect mortality and cause of death after 10 years in Japan?. J Bone Miner Metab 2011; 29 (02) 217-223
  • 48 Veronese N, Cereda E, Maggi S. et al. Osteoarthritis and mortality: a prospective cohort study and systematic review with meta-analysis. Semin Arthritis Rheum 2016; 46 (02) 160-167
  • 49 Turkiewicz A, Neogi T, Björk J, Peat G, Englund M. All-cause mortality in knee and hip osteoarthritis and rheumatoid arthritis. Epidemiology 2016; 27 (04) 479-485