Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Mapping Modern Climate Change in the Selenga River Basin

  • Published:
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The climate change in the Selenga River basin observed over the period from 1961 to 2018 is considered. The WorldClim dataset and the GHCN-Daily global weather station database are used to map mean and extreme climatic characteristics. These maps are included in the geoinformation system for hydroecological safety in the Selenga River basin under development. An interpolation technique that takes into account the dependence of temperature and precipitation extremes on their average long-term values is used for mapping extreme indices. It was found that in contrast to most of Russia, average annual temperature in the Selenga River basin increases mainly due to the warm season. At the same time, the amount of precipitation decreases, which leads to the increasing risk of droughts. A substantial increase in the number of days with maximum temperature \(\ge 25^\circ\)C, the number of consecutive dry days, as well as the frequency of droughts, is revealed. It is most pronounced in the south of the basin.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4

Similar content being viewed by others

REFERENCES

  1. M. Yu. Bardin and T. V. Platova, “Changes in Thresholds of Extreme Temperatures and Precipitation in Russia during the Period of Global Warming,” Problemy Ekologicheskogo Monitoringa i Modelirovaniya Ekosistem, No. 25 (2013) [in Russian].

  2. E. Zh. Garmaev, S. V. P’yankov, B. Z. Tsydypov, A. N. Shikhov, A. A. Ayurzhanaev, B. V. Sodnomov, and R. K. Abdullin, “Structure and Information Content of the GIS ‘Hydrological Safety of the Selenga River Basin’,” in Proceedings of International Conference on Measurements, Modeling, and Information Systems for Environmental Research ENVIROMIS’2020 (Tomsk, 2020) [in Russian].

  3. E. Zh. Garmaev and A. V. Khristoforov, Water Resources of the Lake Baikal Basin Rivers: Fundamentals of Their Use and Protection (Geo, Novosibirsk, 2010) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  4. T. B. Titkova, E. A. Cherenkova, and V. A. Semenov, “Regional Features of Winter Extreme Temperatures and Precipitation in Russia in 1970–2015,” Led i Sneg, No. 4 (2018) [in Russian].

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. N. L. Frolova, P. A. Belyakova, V. Yu. Grigor’ev, A. A. Sazonov, and L. V. Zotov, “Many-year Variations of River Runoff in the Selenga Basin,” Vodnye Resursy, No. 3, 44 (2017) [Water Resour., No. 3, 44 (2017)].

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. V. A. Shutov and I. L. Kalyuzhnyi, “Analysis of Space Distribution of Winter Precipitation and Snow Storage in the Belaya Basin,” Meteorol. Gidrol., No. 1 (1997) [Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol., No. 1 (1997)].

  7. L. Alexander, X. Zhang, T. Peterson, J. Caesar, B. Gleason, A. K. Tank, M. Haylock, D. Collins, B. Trewin, F. Rahimzadeh, A. Tagipour, K. Kumar, J. V. Revadekar, G. Griffiths, L. Vincent, D. Stephenson, J. Burn, E. Aguilar, M. Brunet, M. A. P. Taylor, M. New, P. Zhai, M. Rusticucci, and J. Vazquez-Aguirre, “Global Observed Changes in Daily Climate Extremes of Temperature and Precipitation,” J. Geophys. Res., 11 (2006).

  8. W. M. Alley, “The Palmer Drought Severity Index: Limitations and Assumptions,” J. Climate and Appl. Meteorol., No. 7, 23 (1984).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. O. Bulygina, V. Razuvaev, N. Korshunova, and P. Groisman, “Climate Variations and Changes in Extreme Climate Events in Russia,” Environ. Res. Lett., No. 4, 2 (2007).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. A. Chernokulsky, F. Kozlov, O. Zolina, O. Bulygina, I. Mokhov, and V. Semenov, “Observed Changes in Convective and Stratiform Precipitation in Northern Eurasia over the Last Five Decades,” Environ. Res. Lett., No. 4, 14 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Climdex (Climate Extremes Data for Research Purposes), https://www.climdex.org/ (Accessed May 4, 2021).

  12. M. G. Donat, L. V. Alexander, H. Yang, I. Durre, R. Vose, and J. Caesar, “Global Land-based Datasets for Monitoring Climatic Extremes,” Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., No. 7, 94 (2013).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. S. E. Fick and R. J. Hijmans, “WorldClim 2: New 1-km Spatial Resolution Climate Surfaces for Global Land Areas,” Int. J. Climatol., No. 12, 37 (2017).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. P. Frich, L. Alexander, P. Della-Marta, B. Gleason, M. Haylock, A. K. Tank, and T. Peterson, “Observed Coherent Changes in Climatic Extremes during the Second Half of the 20th Century,” Climate Res., 19 (2002).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. N. L. Frolova, P. A. Belyakova, V. Yu. Grigoriev, A. A. Sazonov, L. V. Zotov, and J. Jarsjo, “Runoff Fluctuations in the Selenga River Basin,” Regional Environ. Change, No. 7, 17 (2017).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. P. Y. Groisman, R. W. Knight, D. R. Easterling, T. R. Karl, G. C. Hegerl, and V. N. Razuvaev, “Trends in Intense Precipitation in the Climate Record,” J. Climate, 18 (2005).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. I. Harris, P. D. Jones, T. J. Osborn, and D. H. Lister, “Updated High-resolution Grids of Monthly Climatic Observations—The CRU TS3.10 Dataset,” Int. J. Climatology, 34 (2014).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. N. V. Kichigina, “Flood Hazard on the Rivers of the Baikal Region,” Geogr. Nat. Resour., No. 2, 39 (2018).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. NOAA NCEI. Climate Data Online Search, https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/search?datasetid= GHCND (Accessed May 4, 2021).

  20. I. Saizen and N. Tsutsumida, “The Rapid Development of Settlements in Flood-prone Areas in Peri-Urban Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia: Monitoring and Spatial Analysis Using VHR Satellite Imageries,” in Land Use Management in Disaster Risk Reduction. Disaster Risk Reduction (Methods, Approaches and Practices), Ed. by M. Banba and R. Shaw (Springer, Tokyo, 2017).

  21. A. N. Shikhov, R. K. Abdullin, and A. V. Tarasov, “Mapping Temperature and Precipitation Extremes under Changing Climate (on the Example of the Ural Region, Russia),” Geography, Environment, Sustainability, No. 2, 13 (2020).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. V. N. Sinyukovich and M. S. Chernyshov, “Water Regime of Lake Baikal under Conditions of Climate Change and Anthropogenic Influence,” Quat. Int., 524 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. R. Tornqvist, J. Jarsjo, J. Pietron, A. Bring, P. Rogberg, S. M. Asokan, and G. Destouni, “Evolution of the Hydro-climate System in the Lake Baikal Basin,” J. Hydrology, 519 (2014).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. S. M. Vicente-Serrano, M. A. Saz-Sanchez, and J. M. Cuadrat, “Comparative Analysis of Interpolation Methods in the Middle Ebro Valley (Spain): Application to Annual Precipitation and Temperature,” Climate Res., No. 2, 24 (2003).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. WorldClim— Global Climate and Weather Data, https://worldclim.org/data/index.html (Accessed July 4, 2021).

  26. A. N. Zolotokrylin and E. A. Cherenkova, “Seasonal Changes in Precipitation Extremes in Russia for the Last Several Decades and Their Impact on Vital Activities of the Human Population,” Geography, Environment, Sustainability, No. 4, 10 (2017).

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Baikal Institute of Nature Management, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, 670047, Ulan-Ude, Russia

    E. Zh. Garmaev, A. A. Ayurzhanaev, B. V. Sodnomov, B. Z. Tsydypov, S. G. Andreev & V. N. Chernykh

  2. Perm State University, 614990, Perm, Russia

    S. V. P’yankov, A. N. Shikhov & R. K. Abdullin

Authors
  1. E. Zh. Garmaev
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. S. V. P’yankov
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. A. N. Shikhov
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. A. A. Ayurzhanaev
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  5. B. V. Sodnomov
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  6. R. K. Abdullin
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  7. B. Z. Tsydypov
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  8. S. G. Andreev
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  9. V. N. Chernykh
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to E. Zh. Garmaev.

Additional information

Translated from Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya, 2022, No. 2, pp. 62-74. https://doi.org/10.52002/0130-2906-2022-2-62-74.

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Garmaev, E.Z., P’yankov, S.V., Shikhov, A.N. et al. Mapping Modern Climate Change in the Selenga River Basin. Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol. 47, 113–122 (2022). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373922020054

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373922020054

Keywords

Search

Navigation