1 Introduction

In recent decades Europe has suffered from a trend decline in productivity growth, a phenomenon that precedes the Great Recession (Ridao-Cano & Bodewig, 2018). This so-called “productivity puzzle” has been accompanied by wide and persistent productivity growth dispersion among EU countries, which has raised concerns about rising income differentials and long-term cohesion across member states. As a result, some studies have explored the evolution of these productivity differences in the EU over time and the extent to which they have been growing or shrinking (Färe et al., 2006; Sondermann, 2014; Villaverde & Maza, 2008). A common feature of this literature has been the use of aggregated or industry level data. However, the slowdown and the widening dispersion in productivity cannot be fully understood without adopting a firm-level perspective (Bartelsman et al., 2013; Hsieh & Klenow, 2009; Restuccia & Rogerson, 2008). In the EU these trends may be the result of an increasing divergence between a small number of companies with high productivity (frontier firms), perhaps located in a very few EU countries, and many laggard firms unable to reduce the distance with frontier firms (Andrews et al., 2016).Footnote 1 Nevertheless, little is known about the characteristics of firms belonging to the EU productivity frontier, as compared to non-frontier or laggard firms, and the factors explaining the distance of laggards to the European frontier, and in particular regarding the contribution of institutional factors to reduce this technological distance.

The aim of this paper is to fill this gap by characterizing firms at the EU productivity frontier and providing evidence on the institutional factors that contribute to reduce the distance between laggards and the most productive firms in their industry at the European level. First, using firm level data from the AMADEUS dataset for the period 2003–2014, we estimate Total Factor Productivity (TFP henceforth) at the firm level. We then focus on identifying the frontier firms at the EU level —defined as the top most productive 5% of firms within each two-digit sector but pooled across EU countries— and compare them with non-frontier (or laggard) firms. Secondly, we explore the factors determining the distance of laggards to their technological EU frontier. In particular, we focus on exploring how institutional factors at the country level contribute to reduce the technological distance of laggards to the within-industry EU frontier firms, controlling for other factors at the firm and country levels, and also for productivity improvements of the frontier. The key institutional factors considered in this study are Governance Quality and Easiness in Getting Credit at the country level. The main reasons to focus on these two institutional factors are the following. On the one hand, governance quality may provide incentives and opportunities for better firms’ performance, by shaping firms’ operating environment (Agostino et al., 2020; Lasagni et al., 2015; Rios & Gianmoena, 2020). On the other hand, we aim at contributing to the recent debate about capital misallocation to less efficient firms hindering convergence of laggard firms to the technological frontier in the EU (Dias et al., 2014; Gopinath et al., 2017). Thirdly, we investigate the role of the Great Recession in moderating the effect of all these factors, and especially of the key institutional factors, by considering two different sub-periods, namely, the period prior to the last financial crisis, which we call the pre-recession period, 2003–2007, and the recession period, 2008–2014. We are particularly interested in answering two research questions. The first one is whether the contribution of governance quality to reduce the distance of laggards to the EU technological frontier has been stronger during the years of recession, as compared to the pre-recession period. The second one is whether efficiency in capital allocation among firms has been more relevant for the convergence of laggard firms to the EU technological leaders during the recession period, as compared to the pre-recession years.

The contribution of this paper to the related literature is threefold. First, our study provides new evidence using firm level data to the scarce existing literature on the characteristics of firms operating at the productivity frontier, as compared to non-frontier or laggard firms, and on the factors explaining the distance of laggards to the technological frontier. In particular, our focus is on the European Union, which we consider an integrated market, and use a microeconomic approach to estimate firms’ productivity and to derive the “EU frontier firms”. Our analysis thus contributes to the understanding of the factors behind productivity industry dispersion among firms in Europe. Although a number of papers have analyzed productivity divergence and the convergence of laggards to the frontier firms (Adalet McGowan et al., 2017; Andrews et al., 2016; Bartelsman et al., 2008), to our knowledge there is no prior study attempting to first, identify the EU frontier firms and, second, to study the determinants of the distance of laggards to the EU technological frontier. Secondly, we focus on exploring the relevance of institutional factors at the country level in explaining the technological distance of laggards to the frontier firms. These factors have been analyzed in studies at the country level, but their contribution to reduce laggards’ technological distance to the EU frontier has not been explored. Thirdly, by investigating the moderating role of the Great Recession on the factors explaining the technological distance of laggards to the EU frontier firms, we contribute to the understanding of the importance of financial market conditions and the competitive pressure faced by firms for the diffusion of knowledge and technological change among firms.

Our main findings may be summarized as follows. First, our results suggest the importance of institutional factors at the country level such as governance quality and easiness in getting credit in explaining firms’ productivity dispersion. Second, the effect of these institutional factors varies over the business cycle. In particular, governance quality significantly contributes to reduce the distance of laggards to the technological frontier, especially during the recession period, whereas easiness in getting credit significantly contributes to increase the productivity gap between laggards and frontier firms during the pre-recession period, but shows a weaker effect in explaining divergence during the recession years. The latter result is consistent with the existence of capital misallocation, especially during the pre-crisis years. Third, our results also show that, at the country level, tertiary education, R&D stock, and trade openness contribute to narrow the distance to the frontier, and that, at the firm level, larger, older and more capital-intensive firms are closer to the productivity frontier. These findings are robust to controlling for the intertemporal shift of the technological frontier.

The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 reviews the literature and presents the hypotheses to be tested. Section 3 presents the data and describes the measurement of firms’ productivity. Section 4 provides a descriptive analysis and careful characterization of the EU frontier firms versus non-frontier (or laggard) firms. Section 5 presents a regression analysis of the determinants of the distance of laggards to the technological frontier firms (or firms’ TFP gaps), focusing on institutional factors at the country level. Finally, Sect. 6 concludes.

2 Literature review and hypotheses

There is a renewed interest in understanding the factors behind productivity dispersion and, in particular, in the drivers of productivity convergence among EU countries (Ridao-Cano & Bodewig, 2018). There are two main perspectives in the study of productivity convergence to the frontier: the macroeconomic and the microeconomic approach. In the former, the unit of analysis is either the country or the region (Barro & Sala-i-Martín, 1992) and the objective is to identify the frontier at the country or region level, and to test whether productivity growth in other territories is related to the existing gap to the frontier (see Acemoglu et al., 2006; Aghion et al., 2008; Amable et al., 2010; Griffith et al., 2004a; Kneller & Stevens, 2006; Sala-i-Martín, 1996; among others). Under this approach, it is assumed that all firms in a given region converge towards the technological frontier, disregarding heterogeneity across firms (Jovanovic, 1982; Melitz, 2003).

The microeconomic approach, instead, aims at overcoming some of these limitations, and especially the heterogeneity across firms (Acemoglu et al., 2007; Alvarez & Crespi, 2007; Andrews et al., 2015; Bartelsman et al., 2008, 2015; Ding et al., 2016; Griffith et al., 2004b). The unit of analysis is the firm, and it is based on the identification of a best-practice frontier firm (or group of firms) reflecting the most advanced technology within an industry and country (or groups of countries). In light of these considerations, micro data for all (potentially relevant) countries within a given geographical area or development level is useful for identifying the relevant frontier, which may differ from the national frontier. The scarce literature analyzing firm level data in a multi-country analysis uses a small number of countries to identify the “global” frontier firms. For example, Bartelsman et al. (2008) focus on the United States and five European economies. Iacovone and Crespi (2010) and Van der Wiel et al. (2012) analyze Mexico and The Netherlands, respectively, and use data from Bartelsman et al. (2008) to identify the global frontier. Two exceptions to these studies are Andrews et al., (2015, 2016), who analyze the global frontier considering a sample of 23 OECD countries over the period 2001–2009, and 24 OECD countries over the period 1997–2014, respectively.

In this paper we use a microeconomic approach to derive the “EU frontier firms”, considering the EU as a well-defined area to be analyzed, that is, as a group of countries that are linked through strong political, economic and trade relationships. As stated by Gill and Raiser (2012) in their World Bank’s report, Europe may be considered as a “convergence machine” given the remarkable results that has achieved in terms of economic growth and convergence during decades. Considering the EU as an integrated market, our aim in this paper is to identify the technological frontier firms within the EU, examine their characteristics vis à vis non-frontier firms or laggards, and analyze the factors explaining the distance of laggards to the frontier firms, with a special focus on the role of relevant institutional factors at the country level.

The literature dealing with productivity dispersion has considered a number of factors, which can be mostly classified as either microeconomic -those linked to firms’ characteristics-, and macroeconomic, country-level or context factors. In the latter group, the quality of institutions stands as a crucial factor (Agostino et al., 2020; Gogokhia & Berulava, 2021; Lasagni et al., 2015). In the light of the focus of this study, in what follows we pay attention to those works that have dealt with a variety of channels through which institutional quality may affect firms’ productivity.

Institutional quality may be captured in a number of different ways, and in this study we use two measures. The first one, which is standard in the literature, consists in the construction of a governance quality index at the country level (Kaufmann et al., 2010; Mimicopoulos et al., 2007). We follow Kaufmann et al. (2010) and consider governance quality as a key factor characterizing countries’ quality of institutions. The governance quality index rests in the nature of the legal and political systems of a country, including the quality of public services, the trustworthiness of the legal system, rule of law and control of corruption. There are a number of reasons to expect a positive relationship between the quality of governance at the country level and firms’ productivity. First, high quality of governance is likely to be associated with a strong legal system that lowers transaction costs by securing property rights and enforcing contracts, encouraging business activities and the accumulation of human and physical capital (Acemoglu et al., 2002; Rodrik et al., 2004), and also with a strong judicial system and effective bankruptcy regulations allowing the exit of inefficient firms and, therefore, improving resource allocation, and in turn, productivity (OECD, 2017). Secondly, the quality of governance may increase productivity by increasing the efficiency of public investment. There is evidence linking good institutions with the returns on public goods investment at the regional European level (Crescenzi et al., 2016). Finally, higher quality of governance may reinforce antitrust implementation, minimize barriers of entry for new firms, and reduce the privileges of incumbent firms, all of which is likely to boost productivity by facilitating the replacement of less productive and inefficient firms and technologies. There is, for instance, evidence documenting that corruption is linked to barriers of entry (Campos et al., 2010), lower entrepreneurship (Nistotskaya et al., 2015) and reduced innovation performance (Rodríguez-Pose & Di Cataldo, 2015). Studies by Lasagni et al. (2015) for Italian firms and Agostino et al. (2020) for European firms provide strong evidence of a positive impact of local governance quality on firms’ productivity using a similar index of institutional quality to the one used in our study. In addition, Gogokhia and Berulava (2021) calculate an index of business environment reforms by country and size of locality and show that it is an important external predictor of firms’ labor productivity in transition economies. Moreover, when considering the heterogeneous effects of the dimensions of the business environment index, they find that the political stability/legal environment component (which considers political instability, corruption, etc.) has a direct effect on firms’ productivity.

The second measure of institutional quality at the country level that we use in this study relates to the quality of financial markets and it is captured by an indicator of the easiness in getting credit.Footnote 2 On the one hand, a developed capital market may play a crucial role in reducing the vulnerability of the economy to adverse financial shocks (OECD, 2017), and to the probability of suffering abrupt breaks of capital inflows (Honing, 2008), allowing for more sustainable FDI inflows (Alguacil et al., 2011). The access of firms to financial markets has been considered as an important institutional factor that may contribute to reduce the technological gap, by facilitating firms’ access to financial resources to fund their investments (Andrews et al., 2015). Financial systems are crucial in helping credit-constrained firms to implement and commercialize new ideas, which, in turn, may raise their productivity. Easy access to credit also allows funds to flow towards young innovating firms, facilitating their growth (Andrews et al., 2015). In this line, Gogokhia and Berulava (2021) find that another component of the business environment index, a business/economic regulatory environment index (which includes, among other factors, access to finance), also has a direct effect on enhancing firms’ productivity. On the other hand, an excess of financial resources or unusually easy access to credit could also be associated with the possibility of misallocation of capital to less efficient firms, helping their survival and so contributing to increase the distance of laggards to the technological frontier (Dias et al., 2014; Gopinath et al., 2017). Therefore, whether easiness in getting credit contributes to reduce or to increase the distance of laggards to the productivity frontier is at the end an empirical matter.

Based on the above discussion, we formulate the following two hypotheses:

H1

Quality of governance at the country level positively contributes to reduce the distance of laggard firms to the technological frontier.

H2

Easiness in getting credit at the country level may contribute to reduce or to increase the distance of laggard firms to the technological frontier.

In addition, since our data covers the period 2003–2014, this allows us to distinguish between two sub-periods corresponding to before and after the world economic crisis known as the Great Recession. In this respect, our study aims to shed light on whether the crisis period has strengthened or weakened the effects of our key institutional factors in explaining the distance of laggard firms to the technological frontier.Footnote 3 This aim gives rise to two additional hypotheses that we explain in what follows.

A number of studies have documented that the quality of institutions is related to firms’ economic performance during the Great Recession in Europe. Recently, Sondermann (2018), Ezcurra and Rios (2019) and Rios and Gianmoena (2020) find that the quality of institutions and, in particular, the quality of government, is one of the most robust drivers of firms’ employment resilience in a recessive period. In these studies, government quality is found to contribute to reduce the intensity of shocks by improving policy responses and, thus, minimizing vulnerability. Also somehow related, the results in Agostino et al. (2020) support the idea that better institutions might particularly favor weaker firms. In this paper, they associate weaker firms with SMEs. In our case, in a similar way, we can associate a period of recession with a further weakening of firms, which most likely increases the relevance of the quality of institutions to reduce uncertainty and transaction costs.

Differently, some other studies provide evidence about a negative relationship between the easiness in getting credit and a firm’s productivity in the pre-recession period. For instance, the study of Cette et al. (2016) provides evidence, for a sample of European countries, of a link between low interest rates—and abundant credit—, and low productivity growth in the pre-recession period, consistent with the idea of pre-recession misallocation of capital (suggesting that capital was allocated to less productive firms). Evidence in this direction can be also found in the work of Gopinath et al. (2017), who analyze firm level data extracted from AMADEUS to document some deterioration in the efficiency of capital allocation across Spanish manufacturing firms between 1999 and 2012. They show how a decline in the real interest rate (that is, a decline in the cost of capital) directed capital inflows to less productive firms under financial frictions (and adjustment costs). They also find that, similarly to Spain, in Italy (1999–2012) and Portugal (2006–2012) there was also a decline in productivity probably related to capital misallocation. In addition, Dias et al. (2014) find that allocative efficiency in the Portuguese economy strongly deteriorated over 1996–2011, and that there was an important role for capital distortions, implying that the financial sector might have contributed to the survival of relatively inefficient firms. If this was the case during the pre-recession period, the reallocation of capital towards more productive firms during the recession -a period of more restricted credit provision- could offset the increase in the distance of laggards to frontier firms associated with an excessive and indiscriminate credit provision during the pre-recession period.

Consequently, we may expect the Great Recession starting in 2008 to play a moderating role regarding the impact of institutional factors such as governance quality and easiness of getting credit on firms’ productivity dispersion. According to the above discussion, we formulate the following two hypotheses:

H3

The contribution of governance quality to reduce the distance of laggard firms to the technological frontier is stronger during recession years.

H4

During pre-recession years, easiness in getting credit contributes to increase the distance of laggard firms to the technological frontier (capital misallocation). However, this effect may be softened or reversed during recession years.

The four hypotheses are tested using regression techniques.

3 Data and measurement of productivity

The firm level data we use in our analysis are drawn from AMADEUS, a database providing firms’ balance sheet information, such as value added, assets, age, and the number of employees, for all EU countries. We use this information to estimate TFP at the firm level in a cross-country setting.

Following Arnold et al. (2008), Gal (2013), and Andrews et al. (2015), in order to obtain better coverage and a more balanced sample we focus on the set of firms with more than 20 employees.Footnote 4 Thus, the resampling procedure targets the size-sector-country distribution of the true population of firms with at least 20 employees.Footnote 5 Further, to ensure that the computation of TFP is feasible for the largest possible number of firms we follow Gal (2013), who suggested an imputation methodology that improves the original coverage of AMADEUS. Our working sample is largely consistent with that in Gal (2013) for the overlapping countries. In addition, currency conversion based on PPPs and deflation are applied to ensure comparability of productivity measures across countries and over time.

The data we analyze correspond to the period 2003–2014. The coverage of EU Member States is subject to data availability in AMADEUS. Thus, our data cover 23 EU Member States. Cyprus and Lithuania are excluded, as there is no information for these two countries. Luxembourg, Malta, and Latvia are also excluded due to an insufficient number of observations. The industry classification is based on NACE Rev. 2, limited to the market sectors and excluding agricultural, mining, real estate and financial sectors, since these latter sectors are more prone to issues in accurately measuring output and they are more affected by lack of information.Footnote 6 As for the financial sector, since AMADEUS does not generally include banks, the coverage would not be representative of this sector at the European level and, therefore, it is excluded. After cleansing the data from missing values in relevant variables and keeping company accounts with valid information for our analysis, we have a sample of 1,123,360 observations, corresponding to 207,689 firms. We follow Kalemli-Ozcan et al. (2015) and Andrews et al. (2016) criteria for filtering our data.

In order to estimate productivity, we first estimate a Cobb–Douglas value added production function following the methodology proposed by Wooldridge (2009) and using the demand for intermediate materials as a control function (see Levinshon and Petrin, 2003). We consider the log version of the production function as follows:

$${y}_{icpt}={\beta }_{0p}+{\beta }_{Lp}{l}_{icpt}+{\beta }_{Kp}{k}_{icpt}+{\omega }_{icpt}+{\eta }_{icpt}$$
(1)

where i denotes firm, c refers to country, p denotes 2-digit industry and t is time period, yicpt is the natural log of value added, licpt is the natural log of labor, and kicpt is the natural log of capital. As for the unobservables, ωicpt is the firm productivity (not observed by the econometrician but observable or predictable by firms) and ηicpt is a standard i.i.d. error term that is neither observed nor predictable by the firm.

The production function in (1) is estimated separately for each two-digit industry p but pooled across all countries, controlling for country and year fixed effects. This allows for technological differences across industries, while simultaneously facilitating both international and over time comparability of the resulting productivity levels.Footnote 7 We obtain estimates of firms’ TFP as the residuals from the estimated production functions:

$${\widehat{\omega }}_{icpt}={y}_{icpt}-{\widehat{\beta }}_{Lp}{l}_{icpt}-{\widehat{\beta }}_{Kp}{k}_{icpt}$$
(2)

where \({\widehat{\omega }}_{ictp}\) is the estimate of the log TFP for firm i in country c, belonging to the 2-digit industry p and period t. Appendix 1 describes in detail the procedure used to obtain TFP estimates using Wooldridge (2009) method. The estimated industry‐specific input elasticities and the firms’ mean TFP are shown in Table 7 in the Appendix. This table also reports the distribution of firms (and resulting observations) across industries. In Table 8 in the Appendix we report the distribution of firms and observations across countries.

4 Descriptive analysis of EU frontier firms

We use a microeconomic approach to derive the “EU frontier firms”, considering the EU as a well-defined area to be analyzed. Following Andrews et al. (2016), for the construction of the productivity frontier we take a fixed number of firms per industry over the sample period. More specifically, frontier firms are identified using the top (most productive) 5% of the median number of firms across years within each two-digit industry.Footnote 8 This definition allows frontier firms to change over time since we maintain fixed the number of firms at the frontier by industry (i.e., the median number of firms), not the set of frontier firms. It also allows the frontier size to vary across industries, and avoids potential problems that may arise as the coverage of firms by AMADEUS expands over time. Once the EU frontier firms for each two-digit industry have been identified, we first characterize the EU frontier firms (and compare them with non-frontier firms) and, then, analyze its composition by country of origin.

4.1 A characterization of the EU frontier firms

To analyze the EU frontier firms, we describe cross-sectional differences in key characteristics between EU frontier and non-frontier or laggard firms over a number of measurable dimensions. The dimensions considered include TFP (measured as described in Sect. 3), age, employment, value added, capital intensity, profits and wages per employee. A test for the difference in means over these dimensions determines the extent to which EU frontier firms differ significantly from non-frontier firms.

Table 1 reports these differences in average characteristics at aggregate level over the period 2003–2014. In addition, this table provides cross-sectional differences in average characteristics for 2 selected years: one year within the pre-recession period, 2006, and one in the recession period, 2013. Table 1 also shows these differences over the total period by three aggregate groups of industries: manufacturing, non-financial market services and other production. In all cases, the differences in means between frontier and non-frontier firms are based on the classification according to the TFP measure.

Table 1 Means and differences in means of firm characteristics: EU frontier firms vs. non-frontier firms

Over the period 2003–2014, firms at the EU frontier are on average 4.44 times more productive than non-frontier firms, indicating that the TFP gap between frontier and non-frontier-firms is sizeable and, therefore, suggesting that the potential for convergence in TFP remains enormous.Footnote 9 In addition, EU frontier firms are on average older, larger, more capital intensive, have higher value added, profits, and pay higher wages per employee than non-frontier firms. These results are consistent with the findings in Andrews et al. (2016) for the global frontier firms with a sample of 24 OECD countries. These features also hold when we look separately at those industries corresponding to manufacturing, non-financial market services and other production, respectively.

Comparing the reported statistics for 2006 (the pre-recession year) and 2013 (the recession year), we observe that there is a reduction in the average TFP both for non-frontier and frontier firms. In addition, non-frontier firms experience a reduction in the average number of employees, value added, and profits, while capital intensity and average wage per employee increase. In contrast, frontier firms increase the average number of employees, value added and capital intensity, whereas average profits and wages per employee decrease.

4.2 The EU frontier composition by country of origin

The EU productivity frontier is comprised of firms from different countries, reflecting different patterns of comparative advantage and natural endowments within the EU. Table 2 shows the percentage of firms in the EU frontier by country of origin in the two selected years, 2006 and 2013. The figures presented in this table are computed following the two steps procedure described in Gal (2013). First, we calculate the percentage that the number of firms of country c in year t that belong to the EU frontier of industry p represents over the total number of firms of country c in year t for that industry. Secondly, the average across industries of this percentage is calculated for each country. A value higher than 5% means that the country has a relatively high percentage of firms at the frontier (that is, at the EU top 5% of firms). For example, in 2013, on average across industries, 12.88% of firms in Germany are in the EU top 5%. Countries in the table are ranked according to their 2013 values, from the best to the worst. The information is provided for the total number of industries and also separately for those industries corresponding to manufacturing, non-financial market services and other production. Notice that Gal (2013) methodology minimizes cross-country coverage differences in AMADEUS. These differences would have been exacerbated if participation of countries at the EU frontier would have been simply calculated as the percentage of firms at the frontier of each country of origin.

Table 2 Percentage of firms in the EU frontier by country of origin in selected years

By looking at the country composition of the EU frontier in 2013 for the total of industries, we observe that those countries with higher participation (above 5%) are Austria, the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, Denmark, Ireland, and the UK, while firms in France, Sweden, Spain, Slovakia, Italy, and Hungary have lower participation in the top 5% (from 3.29% for Hungary to 4.69% for France). The remaining countries have clearly an even lower participation at the frontier, with the last three being Romania, Greece and Estonia. These country participation figures are in line with Gal (2013).Footnote 10

By industry groups, the general results hold with few exceptions. In 2013, France belongs to the group of countries with high participation in the top 5% in manufacturing, the same happens to Sweden and Slovakia for non-financial market services, and to Spain for other production. We also observe that from 2006 to 2013, the Netherlands achieves a noticeable increase in its participation among the EU frontier firms (from 10.48 to 16.76%). However, there are also relevant decreases in frontier participation for countries such as Spain, Hungary, Italy and Greece. The increase for the Netherlands comes both from manufacturing and non-financial market services. The decreases for Spain, Italy and Greece affect the three groups of industries. In Hungary, the decline comes from manufacturing and non-financial market services.

4.3 Evolution of TFP of EU frontier and non-frontier firms

Before analyzing the factors explaining the distance of laggard firms to the technological frontier, we present in Table 3 the evolution of the average TFP of frontier and non-frontier firms. We observe that the average TFP gap between frontier and non-frontier firms is approximately equal to 4.44 during the sample period (with values ranging from the highest, 5.05 in 2003, to the lowest, 4.01 in 2014). This means that, on average across years, frontier firms are 4.44 times more productive than non-frontier firms. We observe, however, three different periods as regards the TFP gap. There is a decrease in the gap from 2003 until 2005. After this, we observe an increase in the gap that peaks in 2009. Finally, during the last years, 2009–2014, we notice a reduction in the gap.

Table 3 Evolution of TFP of EU frontier and non-frontier firms

5 Determinants of the distance to the frontier

We next analyze how our key institutional factors and other country and firms’ characteristics may influence the distance of laggard firms to their technological frontier. As stated earlier, frontier firms are identified at the EU level (within each industry and year). We estimate a model with the distance to the frontier (or technology gap) on the left-hand side and our key regressors for institutional quality and controls both at the firm and country level on the right-hand side. In addition, we also include country, industry, firm and year fixed effects. Therefore, our estimating equation is as follows:

$$ln\frac{{TFP}_{icpt}}{{TFP}_{pt}^{F}}=\alpha +{\beta }^{^{\prime}}{IF}_{ct}+{\delta }^{^{\prime}}{X}_{ct}+{\varphi }^{^{\prime}}{Z}_{icpt-1}+{\gamma }_{c}+{\gamma }_{p}+{\gamma }_{i}+{\gamma }_{t}+{\varepsilon }_{icpt}$$
(3)

where subscript i denotes firm, subscript c country, subscript p corresponds to 2-digit industry and t is the time period. The distance to the frontier of a particular laggard firm is calculated as the natural log of the ratio of its own TFP over the average TFP of the firms at the frontier for the same industry and year.Footnote 11IFct is a two dimensional vector including the two indicators of institutional quality at the country level. The first indicator, Country Governance Quality, is obtained following Kaufmann et al. (2010) as a synthetic measure that relies on four indicators from the Worldwide Governance Indicators, namely, Government Effectiveness, Regulatory Quality, Rule of Law and Control of Corruption.Footnote 12 Government effectiveness captures perceptions on the quality of public services, the quality of the civil service and the degree of its independence from political pressures, the quality of policy formulation and implementation, and the credibility of the government commitment to such policies. Regulatory Quality reflects the perceptions on the ability of the government to formulate and implement sound policies and regulations that allow and promote private sector development. Rule of Law captures the perceptions on the extent to which agents have confidence in and abide by the rules of society, and in particular the quality of contract enforcement, property rights, the police, and the courts, as well as the likelihood of crime and violence. Finally, Control of Corruption captures perceptions on the extent to which public power is exercised for private gain, including both minor and grand forms of corruption, as well as “capture” of the state by elites and private interests (Chowdhury & Audretsch, 2014). Given the high correlation among these four indicators and following a common practice in related literature, we apply factor analysis to obtain a synthetic measure, Country Governance Quality, which is a weighted sum of the original indicators, capturing the quality of the institutional governance in each country. We expect this variable to facilitate technological adoption and diffusion and so to contribute to reduce the technological gap among firms (Hypothesis 1).

The second variable measuring institutional quality is Country DTF Getting Credit, an indicator from the World Bank's dataset Doing Business capturing the distance regarding the easiness in getting credit between a particular country and the world best practice country. This indicator tries to capture both the strength of the credit system and the effectiveness of collateral and bankruptcy laws in facilitating lending.Footnote 13 By construction, higher values of this indicator imply greater easiness in conducting business. According to Hypothesis 2, the effect of this variable in explaining the convergence of laggard firms to the technological frontier is a priori ambiguous.

As regards control variables at the country level, the vector Xct in (3) includes a set of variables capturing other macroeconomic context factors. First, as knowledge is expected to play a crucial role in explaining the distance of firms to the technological frontier, we include a measure of human capital, Country Tertiary Education, which is the percentage of 15–64 years old population with tertiary education, drawn from Eurostat.Footnote 14 Secondly, we also include a knowledge-related variable such as the percentage of researchers in R&D per million people (Country R&D stock) obtained from the World Bank Development Indicators.Footnote 15 We expect these two variables to be related to the ability of the country to develop and absorb ideas and knowledge from the technological frontier and, therefore, to contribute to reduce the distance of laggards to the frontier. Finally, we include a measure of Country Trade Openness, calculated as the ratio of the sum of imports plus exports over GDP, obtained from the World Bank Development Indicators. The effect of trade openness on firms’ productivity gap is a priori ambiguous. On the one hand, exposure to trade is an important driver contributing to a better resource allocation, by selecting the most productive firms into the export markets and inducing the less efficient firms to exit, thereby affecting within-industry productivity dispersion (Amiti & Konings, 2007; Fernandes, 2007; Melitz, 2003). In that case, we expect trade openness to be associated with a reduction of the distance of laggards to the technological frontier. On the other hand, trade openness may also affect firms’ productivity and within-industry reallocation through other channels, such as changing firms’ incentives to innovate (see Shu & Steinwender, 2018, and references therein). Since import competition in domestic product markets affects competitive pressure, it may either encourage or discourage firms’ innovation incentives and, hence, affect productivity dispersion (Beneito et al., 2014, 2015, 2017).Footnote 16

Finally, the vector Zicpt-1 in (3) accounts for variables at the firm-level, such as firms’ size, age, and capital intensity, that have been found to affect productivity at the firm level (see, for instance, Syverson, 2011; Børing, 2019). The γ’s in (3) are country, industry, firm and year fixed effects, respectively, and εicpt is a standard i.i.d. error term. In Table 4, we report the descriptive statistics of all regressors in (3). Furthermore, in Table 9 in the Appendix we present the Pearson correlation matrix for the variables used in our analysis. In the final row of the table, we show the variance inflation factors (VIFs) for each of the explanatory variables. Since all VIFs are smaller than 6.18, this indicates that we have no serious multicollinearity problems (Chatterjee et al., 2000). The VIF values range from 1.01 for firm’s size to 6.18 for the country-level governance quality index.

Table 4 Descriptive statistics of the determinants of the distance to the frontier

5.1 The effects of the key institutional regressors

The estimation results obtained by linear regression are presented in Table 5. All regressions are run only with non-frontier firm distances. Results were similar when also including frontier firms, in which case the corresponding log value for the dependent variable for frontier-firms was set to zero. Coefficient estimates for the regressors at the firm-level have the interpretation of elasticities since both the dependent variable and firm level regressors are in log form. The proper interpretation of the sign of estimated coefficients from Eq. (3) is the following: a positive coefficient for a given regressor means that it contributes to reduce the distance to the EU frontier; and, a negative one the opposite. Notice that in Eq. (3) the dependent variable is defined as \(ln\left(\frac{{TFP}_{icpt}}{{TFP}_{pt}^{F}}\right)=ln{TFP}_{icpt}-ln{TFP}_{pt}^{F}\).

Table 5 Distance to the EU frontier

In Column (1) of Table 5 we present the estimation of Eq. (3) above. As regards to our key regressors for institutional quality, we find that governance quality significantly and positively contributes to reduce the technological distance of laggards to the frontier, providing support to Hypothesis 1. This result is in line with existing literature. For instance, Arnold et al. (2008) and Andrews et al. (2015) document how product market regulations that restrain competitive pressure negatively affect firms’ productivity, implying that a weak market and institutional framework may impose a burden on firms’ productivity growth. However, regarding Hypothesis 2, results in Column (1) indicate that the effect of the easiness in getting credit is negative for convergence (as expected if there is misallocation of capital) but statistically non-significant.

To test for Hypotheses 3 and 4, which are related to the moderating effect of the Great Recession on the effects of institutional quality on firms’ TFP convergence to the frontier, in Column (2) we include the same regressors as in Column (1), but we also interact the regressors with a dummy variable taking value 1 for recession years, 2008–2014. Hence, the estimates for non-interacted regressors in this column correspond to the reference category, pre-recession years, 2003–2007. In order to interpret the result for the recession years, the coefficients of the interacted regressors should be added to the corresponding coefficients of the reference category (pre-recession).

As shown in Column (2), we obtain that the positive impact of governance quality on TFP convergence is similar in the recession period than in the pre-recession period, whereas the effect of the easiness in getting credit is negative and statistically significant only in the pre-recession period (in the recession years it is statistically non-significant).Footnote 17 From this cross-products regression in Column (2), we can only provide evidence supporting Hypothesis 4, which works in the direction of the existence of capital misallocation in Europe’s pre-crisis period (a period of excessive and sometimes indiscriminate credit provision). Capital was probably allocated to less productive firms allowing their survival and, thereby, contributing to increase the distance of laggards to the EU frontier. Differently, higher discipline in credit provision during the Great Recession could have offset the previous period misallocation of capital by diverting funds towards more productive firms.

We next control for the intertemporal shift of the TFP frontier. By conditioning on the frontier TFP growth, we are able to identify more precisely the factors contributing to reduce the distance of laggards to their industrial frontier. This is done in Columns (3) and (4) of Table 5, which extend Columns (1) and (2), respectively. In particular, we estimate Eq. (3) with an additional control measuring the TFP growth (from period t-2 to t-1) of the industry frontier. Our estimating equation in this case is as follows:

$$ln\frac{{TFP}_{icpt}}{{TFP}_{pt}^{F}} =\alpha +{\beta }^{^{\prime}}{IF}_{ct}+{\delta }^{^{\prime}}{X}_{ct}+{\varphi }^{^{\prime}}{Z}_{icpt-1}+\theta \left(ln{TFP}_{pt-1}^{F}-ln{TFP}_{pt-2}^{F}\right)+{\gamma }_{c}+{\gamma }_{p}+{\gamma }_{i}+{\gamma }_{t}+{\varepsilon }_{icpt}$$
(4)

where \(ln{TFP}_{pt-1}^{F}-ln{TFP}_{pt-2}^{F}\) is the rate of growth of the average TFP of frontier firms in industry p from period t-2 to t-1. Importantly, the estimate for parameter \(\theta\) will inform on whether the growth rate of the technological frontier contributes to reduce the distance of laggards to the technological frontier. If this is the case, this may suggest that there are positive knowledge spillovers from frontier to non-frontier firms within an industry and, hence, that laggard firms benefit from them.

The only remarkable difference between Column (3) and Column (1) results is that when we control for the productivity improvement of the frontier, the coefficient of easiness in getting credit remains negative but becomes statistically significant, which is consistent with capital misallocation for the whole analyzed period. However, our preferred estimates are those in Column (4), since they both control for the intertemporal shift of the frontier and allow for heterogeneous effects of regressors during the recession period compared to the pre-recession years. These results show that during the recession period governance quality further reinforces its contribution to reduce the technological gap, providing support to Hypothesis 3. The coefficient for easiness in getting credit is negative and statistically significant, although its magnitude is considerably reduced during the recession period compared to the previous period. Hence, these findings provide support to Hypothesis 4, indicating that easiness in getting credit contributes to increase the technological gap, suggesting capital misallocation, especially during the pre-recession years. This effect is considerably softened during the recession period.

Finally, in Column (3) we also observe that the TFP growth of the frontier contributes to increase the technological gap between laggards and frontier firms during the whole period analyzed. Furthermore, when we consider the Great Recession we observe in Column (4) that the effect of the TFP growth of the frontier in increasing the technological gap is much stronger during the recession period. This suggests that laggard firms could not benefit from positive technological spillovers from advances in their frontier, and that the ability to learn from and imitate technological leaders becomes more difficult during the recession period.

5.2 The effects of the control variables

Regarding the effects of control variables at the country-level, we obtain that tertiary education, R&D stock and trade openness significantly and positively contribute to lower the distance of laggards to the frontier, results that are consistent with existing studies such as Añón-Higón et al. (2018), who, from a macroeconomic perspective, obtain a positive impact of R&D in fostering countries’ TFP growth in a study on productivity convergence across EU countries, and Iacovone and Crespi (2010), who provide evidence on the role of trade openness in firms’ productivity convergence. In addition, the effect of reducing the distance to the frontier becomes weaker during the Great Recession for tertiary education, but stronger for R&D stock and trade openness.Footnote 18 We would like to highlight the weaker contribution of tertiary education to closing the productivity gap to the frontier during the recession period. Skill-based technological change, globalization and offshoring have changed skills demand in the EU, placing universities at the center of the debate about their ability to adapt and provide required skills beyond university diplomas (Hoftijzer & Gortazar, 2018). Calero et al. (2016) reveal that tertiary education for the cohorts born between 1960 and 1975 was associated with better skills than the previous cohorts, and also better skills than the cohorts born from 1980 to 1990. In addition, it could also be the case that labor skills have depreciated in the EU during the Great Recession because of high unemployment rates and more temporary contracts, with a reduction in on-the-job training (Cabrales et al., 2014).

For firm-level control variables, we find that size, age, and capital intensity contribute significantly to reduce the distance to the frontier.Footnote 19 For instance, according to results in Column (1) in Table 5, a one per cent increase in size (as measured by the number of employees) reduces the distance to the frontier by 0.080 per cent, a one per cent increase in age reduces the distance to the frontier by 0.054 per cent, and a one per cent increase in capital intensity reduces the distance to the frontier by 0.015 per cent.Footnote 20 Furthermore, results indicate that size decreases the distance to the frontier more in the recession than in the pre-recession period. Differently, age and capital intensity narrow the gap less in the recession than in pre-recession years.

6 Concluding remarks

This study provides novel evidence on the institutional factors contributing to reduce the distance of laggard firms to the European frontiers. By doing so, we focus on two central questions: (1) Do key institutional factors at the country level, such as governance quality and the easiness in getting credit, contribute (and how) to the convergence of laggard firms in the EU to their EU technological leaders? (2) Have the effects of these institutional factors been different during the Great Recession as compared to pre-recession years? As regards to the first question, we find that governance quality positively contributes to the convergence process of laggards to the technological frontier. Additionally, regarding the easiness in getting credit, we find evidence supporting capital misallocation to less productive firms, which may have contributed to their survival and, hence, to the increase of the within industry productivity gap between laggards and leaders. As for the second question, we show that while the contribution of governance quality to reduce the distance of laggards to the frontier is reinforced during the recession period, the problem of capital misallocation in the pre-recession years is softened during the Great Recession. It seems that during the pre-recession period there was an excess of financial resources or an exceedingly easy access to credit for firms in the EU. This misallocation process was alleviated during the recession, a period characterized by tighter credit provision that most likely reallocated capital to more productive firms.

Beyond our key institutional factors, our study also shows that other country characteristics such as tertiary education, R&D stock and trade openness are relevant factors in explaining the convergence of laggard firms to the frontier. In addition, firm level characteristics such as size, age and capital intensity also contribute to closing the gap to the technological frontier. The Great Recession strengthens the importance of R&D stock and trade openness at the country level and the size of the firm in the process of convergence to the frontier. Finally, it appears that laggard firms in Europe have obstacles in benefiting from technological spillovers from the frontier, and that this has been exacerbated during the Great Recession.

Our findings suggest a number of implications, both for managers and policy makers. First, it seems advisable for managers to pursue strategies aimed at strengthening firms’ characteristics such as size and capital intensity. Secondly, the importance of institutional factors at the country level suggests that there is room for policy measures to reduce the technological gap between laggards and frontier firms. In particular, improving the quality of governance seems to be a relevant institutional factor contributing to reduce the technological gap, especially during the downturn period. In addition, the need for policies aimed at better capital allocation to more efficient firms has become evident. This points towards the necessity to reduce informational asymmetries between lenders and borrowers, to a better evaluation of risks by the banking sector and, probably, to a tighter control over financial institutions. Finally, investments in human capital for new and better skills, the promotion of trade openness and R&D stock of knowledge, and the facilitation of absorbing advanced technologies may serve to increase aggregate productivity by reducing the distance of laggards to the technological frontier.

Although this study provides relevant insights, it is not without limitations that future research should address. First, not all countries in our sample receive the same coverage in the AMADEUS database. Nonetheless, we have made efforts in line with Arnold et al. (2008), Gal (2013), and Andrews et al. (2015) to ensure representativeness of the final sample. Second, the availability of more variables capturing firms’ characteristics can contribute to a better fit of the model and a more accurate estimate of the role that institutional factors have in the convergence of laggard firms to their technological frontiers. Therefore, it is a challenge for future research in this area to have richer firm-level panel surveys covering EU countries in a comparable manner.