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Seamount age prediction machine learning model based on multiple geophysical observables: methods and applications in the Pacific Ocean

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Abstract

Seamount ages are important for understanding crust-mantle interactions and exploring sea bottom ore resources. Rock sampling and laboratory measurements are time-consuming and expensive, and are currently the main methods for dating seamounts. Thus, the ages of many seamounts in the Pacific Ocean are still unknown. To address this problem, gravity anomalies, magnetic anomalies, oceanic crustal ages, sediment thicknesses and seamount heights are chosen as the input parameters for seamount age prediction based on the potential relationship between geophysical observables and seamount ages. A Back-propagation (BP) neural network is constructed using the currently known seamount ages in the Pacific Ocean. Then, the weight and threshold of the BP network are optimized by a Genetic algorithm (GA); finally, the GA-BP model for seamount age production is derived. In addition, Convolutional neural network (CNN), BP model, and Support vector regression (SVR) methods are also used to predict seamount ages. The uncertainties in the prediction results decrease in the order of the GA-BP model, CNN, BP model, and SVR methods. The RMSE of the GA-BP prediction results is 10.22 Ma, and R2 is 0.90.

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Data availability

Gravity anomaly, magnetic anomaly, oceanic crustal age, sediment thickness and bathymetry data can be downloaded from https://topex.ucsd.edu/grav_outreach/, http://www.geomag.us/models/emag2.html, https://www.earthbyte.org/age-and-bathymetry-of-the-worlds-ocean-crust-for-the-last-140-million-years/, https://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/mgg/sedthick/ and https://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/mgg/global/global.html respectively. The geophysical observables at each seamount and the predicted age are listed in Table A1 in the Appendix.

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Acknowledgements

This work is supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant No. 2019YFC1509204), the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong, China (Grant No. ZR2020MD065), the National Program of Update and Integration of Marine Geological Data (Grant No. DD20190214) and the Open Fund of State Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics (Grant No. LED2019B01). Thank Mr. Keke Jia for his comments on the improvement of the manuscript. Furthermore, our sincere gratitude goes to the editor and the two reviewers for their helpful comments and suggestions which resulted in considerable improvement of this paper.

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Bai, Y., Rong, Y., Sun, J. et al. Seamount age prediction machine learning model based on multiple geophysical observables: methods and applications in the Pacific Ocean. Mar Geophys Res 42, 31 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11001-021-09451-z

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